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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets36%103114
7Nuggets64%107132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
34.8
30.5
23
65%
2
8
0
2
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
2-6
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
28.9
29.6
14
49%
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
10-10
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
0-3
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
28.3
19.4
12
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
4-8
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
27.0
29.0
4
67%
9
2
1
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.2
12.9
22.6
6
44%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.2
28.2
14.1
13
53%
6
0
1
0
2
2
4
2
1-3
33%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.7
21.5
20.0
7
117%
3
9
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
20.9
18.0
11
48%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
3-7
43%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
15.9
21.1
12
77%
3
0
0
0
2
4
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.1
12.0
8.1
5
38%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
1-6
17%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
9.7
4.8
7
70%
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
22.9
1
3-5
53%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
36.6
34.0
18
63%
7
14
2
2
0
2
0
7
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
2-6
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.0
31.4
28.8
11
52%
2
12
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
30.0
23.7
21
68%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-1
0%
6-9
3-7
67%
50%
3-6
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
24.4
29.2
13
60%
6
0
1
1
3
1
3
3
1-2
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
19.9
21.9
6
75%
7
0
0
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
4-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.1
28.7
28.8
22
58%
2
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
5-12
4-9
42%
50%
2-4
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
22.8
17.6
17
61%
3
5
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
21.9
4.4
14
64%
7
1
4
0
0
1
2
5
0-2
0%
7-9
1-2
78%
48%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
8.6
16.8
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
57%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
7.3
3.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
5.0
3.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.4
3.5
2.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
18.7
1
3-5
52%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.