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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies61%10189
21Kings39%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
37.6
32.7
25
75%
3
4
2
2
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
7-12
5-9
58%
49%
2-2
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
35.8
29.0
9
32%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-13
6-11
31%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
35.4
22.0
12
61%
6
2
2
1
3
0
0
6
2-4
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
34.0
33.3
15
54%
10
4
0
1
5
2
3
7
7-9
78%
4-9
5-10
44%
53%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
29.9
23.2
3
26%
5
2
2
0
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
22.6
20.0
17
61%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-10
1-3
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
17.8
14.5
2
20%
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.9
10.6
3.1
4
52%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
6.6
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.0
5.3
4.6
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.8
4.5
14.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
12.9
0
2-4
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
2.1
0
0-1
52%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.2
31.7
31.9
18
52%
6
8
1
1
0
2
2
4
7-10
70%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.7
29.9
19.3
22
66%
9
0
1
1
0
1
0
9
4-4
100%
9-14
4-8
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
24.6
34.4
5
29%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-5
5-10
20%
49%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.3
19.6
30.6
2
25%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.7
18.6
30.6
2
20%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
31.4
14.5
6
23%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-3
0%
49%
2-8
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.8
29.3
7.5
4
50%
9
3
0
0
2
0
4
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.1
24.5
14.6
14
64%
4
2
4
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.4
15.4
6.1
1
13%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
15.0
6.5
13
67%
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
0
5-6
83%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.1
28.8
1
3-7
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.6
9.0
0
1-2
41%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.1
6.5
0
1-2
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.