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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls62%9885
25Pistons38%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
44.9
39.0
14
72%
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-4
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
40.8
35.8
21
57%
10
3
2
1
0
3
1
9
1-1
100%
10-18
8-16
56%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
37.8
30.9
7
36%
5
8
3
1
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
34.1
26.3
18
45%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
7-14
4-7
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
21.4
18.1
13
86%
7
3
1
1
1
1
2
5
5-8
63%
4-4
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
20.4
11.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
17.1
28.8
2
25%
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
15.3
12.0
4
34%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
5.7
9.0
2
25%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
1.2
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
1.2
1.6
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
39.2
1
6-12
48%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.3
37.3
34.3
20
66%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
5-7
71%
6-8
3-8
75%
44%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.0
35.8
28.7
14
53%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.8
32.3
32.3
11
46%
7
7
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
21.0
23.4
8
67%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.7
20.0
24.0
3
52%
10
0
1
1
0
1
1
9
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.7
32.6
21.8
10
71%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-2
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
27.1
23.8
17
96%
9
0
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
6-6
3-6
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.3
17.3
5.7
4
45%
2
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
14.8
14.1
12
55%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
0.9
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
0.9
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
24.8
1
2-4
49%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.