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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hornets57%9995
28Suns43%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
32.6
29.1
6
43%
10
1
0
1
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
31.1
23.9
17
59%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
7-8
88%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
2-2
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
31.1
32.3
10
46%
4
7
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.1
30.6
30.0
20
74%
3
1
3
1
2
3
2
1
8-8
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
53%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
17.7
29.1
9
38%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-10
5-10
30%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
34.7
23.4
17
49%
10
0
0
1
0
2
5
5
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.3
17.6
20.5
4
33%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
17.6
10.3
8
58%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.0
14.1
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
13.1
11.2
4
50%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
6.8
0
0-1
46%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.7
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
2.9
0
0-1
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
39.7
34.2
11
40%
3
8
1
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
35.5
21.5
18
77%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.9
34.0
20.9
17
66%
10
2
3
1
1
0
4
6
1-2
50%
8-12
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.9
28.7
29.3
4
33%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
28.4
31.4
9
45%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
1-6
17%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
28.0
22.5
15
59%
4
2
2
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
1-5
20%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.6
19.2
9.9
9
101%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
15.5
23.6
3
13%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-11
4-9
9%
48%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.9
11.0
4.7
6
61%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.5
24.4
0
4-8
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.4
5.6
0
1-2
48%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.