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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2476ers33%9383
13Nets67%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
28.1
32.4
11
47%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
1-1
100%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
27.9
36.8
15
69%
2
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
6-13
40%
45%
3-5
60%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
24.7
31.9
3
15%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-9
6-11
11%
52%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
22.7
31.3
7
35%
6
0
1
0
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
22.0
30.5
5
37%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-5
4-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.2
24.6
15.8
4
40%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
24.0
7.7
4
67%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
21.2
14.1
18
83%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
45%
2-2
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.4
18.7
19.1
9
41%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 24.0
16.1
7.2
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
10.0
3.9
3
31%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
10.3
0
0-1
42%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.1
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.5
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.9
29.8
32.5
17
59%
24
2
3
1
0
1
9
15
5-10
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
26.7
33.2
11
55%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
26.1
30.6
29
61%
11
3
0
1
3
2
6
5
3-4
75%
13-22
8-14
59%
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
26.1
28.7
0
0%
3
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.8
23.1
26.9
11
55%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
1-4
25%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
24.9
19.8
11
62%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
18.2
16.3
9
60%
7
0
0
0
1
3
5
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
18.0
15.7
4
23%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-4
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
16.9
16.4
2
20%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
4-7
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
15.0
6.0
3
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
5.1
5.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
5.1
3.9
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
5.1
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.