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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards26%9399
4Knicks74%101120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
33.1
35.4
33
66%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
11-14
79%
11-19
7-15
58%
46%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
30.3
23.3
7
52%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
27.1
24.2
10
56%
7
1
2
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
24.0
21.8
9
58%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
22.1
25.5
4
30%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
2-4
50%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
25.9
20.6
11
50%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
3-7
43%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
22.0
5.5
1
13%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
20.1
8.5
16
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
41%
4-7
57%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
19.1
24.4
6
50%
3
0
2
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
9.7
7.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
6.6
13.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
25.4
1
2-4
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.4
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.4
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
30.8
34.8
36
72%
8
6
0
1
0
0
1
7
7-9
78%
10-17
8-17
59%
48%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.8
30.8
34.4
10
56%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.8
24.4
17.6
18
90%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
4-6
67%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
22.6
17.3
5
125%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 35.3
18.3
12.2
2
50%
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
32.4
31.8
17
55%
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.1
29.6
15.2
17
72%
9
1
0
0
0
3
2
7
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
4-6
67%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.8
22.5
14.3
12
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
4-8
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 40.0
22.1
25.8
3
150%
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
6.6
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.5
29.4
1
3-5
63%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 39.0
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.5
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.6
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.