Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Bucks	36%	97	83	88.3	94	102.7
	10	Heat	64%	101	94	98.9	95	87.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	35.6	30	79%	3	4	1	0	4	5	0	3	6-6	100%	6-7	86%	4-9	44%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	30.4	8	40%	9	2	2	1	2	3	2	7	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	27.6	8	44%	4	2	4	0	6	1	0	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	21.0	4	40%	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	19.3	7	32%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-4	25%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%

Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 27	31.6	8	44%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	26.9	8	67%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	25.5	6	33%	2	4	2	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	9.8	0	0%	5	0	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	7.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	4.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ekpe Udoh #13 · C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Drew Gooden # 0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	49%	37	19	13	2	19	0	5	32	8-14	57%	24-50	48%	9-25	36%

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16 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	35.6	30	79%	3	4	1	0	4	5	0	3	6-6	100%	6-7	86%	4-9	44%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	30.4	8	40%	9	2	2	1	2	3	2	7	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	27.6	8	44%	4	2	4	0	6	1	0	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	21.0	4	40%	5	3	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	19.3	7	32%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-4	25%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%

Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 27	31.6	8	44%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	26.9	8	67%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	25.5	6	33%	2	4	2	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	9.8	0	0%	5	0	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	7.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	4.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ekpe Udoh #13 · C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Drew Gooden # 0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	49%	37	19	13	2	19	0	5	32	8-14	57%	24-50	48%	9-25	36%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	30.1	28	78%	7	7	2	1	3	0	1	6	6-6	100%	11-15	73%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	28.6	5	63%	1	3	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Udonis Haslem C · 6'8" 235 · 33	23.6	10	50%	15	0	0	1	1	2	5	10	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G · 6'8" 218 · 33	21.0	5	36%	4	4	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	20.7	3	30%	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%

Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	27.3	6	27%	4	0	3	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-6	0%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	24.9	11	42%	4	2	1	0	3	3	1	3	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	22.1	9	64%	9	0	0	0	1	1	6	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	19.6	11	55%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	17.9	6	50%	2	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Jarvis Varnado F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 40	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh # 1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dwyane Wade # 3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	49	22	12	3	17	0	14	35	10-10	100%	30-53	57%	8-35	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.99 49.4%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

15

23

65%

MIA

20

28

71%

Midrange

MIL

9

27

33%

MIA

10

25

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

MIA

8

12.0

35

23%

34%

Free Throws

MIL

8

14

57%

MIA

10

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Jennings	30	79%	15.0 / 19
L. Sanders	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Ellis	8	44%	4.0 / 9
L. Mbah a Moute	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Daniels	7	32%	3.5 / 11
J. Redick	6	33%	3.0 / 9
E. Ilyasova	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Henson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Ayon	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	28	78%	14.0 / 18
R. Allen	11	42%	5.5 / 13
N. Cole	11	55%	5.5 / 10
U. Haslem	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Andersen	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Lewis	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. Jones	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Miller	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Battier	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 1 112.1	MIL 88.3 MIA 98.9 +10.6
Pace	4 94.8 23 90.9	MIL 102.7 +15.1 MIA 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 10 16.1	MIL 14.0 −2.4 MIA 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 1 55.2%	MIL 50.0% +2.3% MIA 47.7%
TO %	5 14.3% 7 14.5%	MIL 19.8% MIA 16.3% −3.5%
ORB %	11 27.9% 26 22.2%	MIL 12.5% MIA 30.4% +17.9%
FTrt	27 23.6 8 29.7	MIL 18.7 +7.3 MIA 11.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 13 60.0%	MIL 57.6% MIA 57.9% +0.3%
STL %	11 8.8% 4 9.5%	MIL 13.8% +1.2% MIA 12.6%
BLK %	4 10.1% 9 9.1%	MIL 3.8% MIA 6.0% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 1 57.0%	MIL 49.4% MIA 49.5% +0.1%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 1 65.9%	MIL 65.2% MIA 71.4% +6.2%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 4 41.9%	MIL 33.3% MIA 40.0% +6.7%
3P %	14 36.0% 2 39.6%	MIL 36.0% +13.1% MIA 22.9%
FT %	22 73.6% 16 75.4%	MIL 57.1% MIA 100.0% +42.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 21 34.8%	MIL 30.7% MIA 31.8% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 10 36.7%	MIL 36.0% MIA 28.4% −7.6%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 5 28.5%	MIL 33.3% MIA 39.8% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	MIL	MIA
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	83	94
Rebounds	37	49
Assists	19	22
Steals	13	12
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	35 (2)
Field Goals	33-75	38-88
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	20-28
Midrange FG	9-27	10-25
2-Point FG	24-50	30-53
3-Point FG	9-25	8-35
Free Throws	8-14	10-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg