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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bucks36%9783
10Heat64%10294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
35.6
30.8
30
80%
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
6-6
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
42%
4-9
44%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
30.4
28.8
8
40%
9
2
2
1
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.5
27.6
34.8
8
45%
4
2
4
2
0
6
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
5-10
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
21.0
30.2
4
40%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
19.3
19.2
7
33%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-4
25%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
31.6
18.7
8
44%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.6
26.9
21.4
8
67%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-3
67%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
25.5
25.3
6
33%
2
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
9.8
10.9
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
7.5
4.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
4.6
4.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
5.1
0
1-2
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
30.1
20.2
28
75%
7
7
2
1
1
3
1
6
6-6
100%
11-15
4-8
73%
58%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
28.6
26.4
5
63%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
23.6
18.6
10
50%
15
0
0
0
1
1
5
10
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
21.0
24.7
5
36%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
20.7
25.9
3
30%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-5
20%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
27.3
24.3
6
27%
4
0
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-6
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
24.9
19.7
11
41%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
2-8
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
22.1
18.9
9
64%
9
0
0
1
0
1
6
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
57%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
19.6
25.3
11
53%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
17.9
9.5
6
50%
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
2-5
40%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
2.1
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
2.1
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
10.4
0
1-1
53%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.