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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors38%92101
17Bulls62%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
45.5
26.2
13
70%
11
2
0
1
1
0
2
9
3-3
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
36.9
27.4
19
59%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
4-5
80%
3-9
5-10
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.0
34.4
28.0
13
59%
3
10
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
1-5
20%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
34.3
30.5
20
62%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-7
57%
8-11
6-13
73%
46%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
23.3
30.5
8
84%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
27.2
13.6
8
59%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.2
18.4
18.8
13
69%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
2-3
67%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
13.6
5.2
4
33%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
6.3
16.2
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
0.1
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
17.0
1
1-3
41%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
6.4
0
1-1
51%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.3
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
48.0
39.8
28
96%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
5-6
83%
7-9
4-8
78%
51%
3-3
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
43.9
36.5
19
42%
11
8
0
1
0
4
2
9
5-6
83%
7-20
8-16
35%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
32.5
32.8
5
50%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
25.2
24.1
6
33%
10
0
0
1
1
1
6
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
18.6
15.3
8
54%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
30.7
28.4
22
45%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
2-13
4-8
15%
49%
5-9
56%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
26.4
1.9
6
44%
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
5
0-2
0%
3-6
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.1
14.3
9.2
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
0.6
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
27.2
1
4-8
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
8.3
0
1-1
40%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.