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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder64%10390
14Jazz36%9880
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
37.4
39.0
21
78%
12
9
3
1
1
3
0
12
8-8
100%
5-8
8-14
63%
54%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
37.2
32.5
25
51%
5
2
3
1
0
1
1
4
7-8
88%
6-16
7-15
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
31.8
30.4
16
57%
8
0
1
0
5
3
4
4
0-0
-
8-14
4-7
57%
57%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.4
28.8
23.6
2
20%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
26.6
25.9
12
75%
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
54%
4-8
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.2
27.7
23.3
5
28%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
16.6
20.0
2
20%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
60%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.0
16.3
18.8
4
41%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.7
10.8
12.3
3
38%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.1
6.7
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.7
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.2
37.6
33.2
8
36%
6
2
2
1
1
5
0
6
0-0
-
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.3
37.4
29.7
19
52%
2
6
1
1
0
5
1
1
3-3
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.5
35.7
28.9
10
56%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
2-6
33%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
34.5
32.3
17
48%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
2-7
29%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.3
32.4
30.7
15
56%
11
1
1
1
1
1
2
9
1-1
100%
7-13
7-15
54%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.7
29.2
26.7
8
46%
8
1
0
1
5
2
1
7
2-4
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
22.6
15.2
3
25%
4
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 35.1
10.7
14.5
0
0%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.8
11.0
0
1-2
47%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.8
4.2
0
0-1
40%
Jerel McNeal
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.9
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.5
3.2
0
0-1
57%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 23.1
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.