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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks54%95124
2576ers46%94101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.8
31.3
29.1
13
50%
2
11
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.3
28.9
24.9
28
69%
12
4
1
1
1
3
1
11
5-5
100%
10-15
4-8
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.9
26.2
23.8
16
62%
9
3
2
1
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.1
18.3
11.5
8
52%
1
8
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.1
17.9
21.3
6
68%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-3
33%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
32.9
12.7
21
76%
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-9
1-2
56%
49%
3-4
75%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.7
18.2
15.0
17
70%
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
5-5
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 29.0
17.8
24.1
8
68%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32.0
17.1
14.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.0
13.6
18.9
5
63%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
12.9
20.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
4.9
22.1
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.2
14.3
0
2-4
45%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
38.5
30.0
9
35%
5
7
0
1
0
5
1
4
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
31.6
28.5
28
70%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
14-20
5-10
70%
52%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
27.4
32.4
12
39%
5
1
0
1
0
5
2
3
3-3
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.9
25.2
27.4
5
42%
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.2
22.7
26.3
6
31%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
0-7
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
26.4
17.5
19
85%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
3-5
60%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.4
26.0
19.1
15
67%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
22.2
15.2
7
64%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.2
12.1
19.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 24.0
4.9
11.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
3.0
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
7.6
0
1-2
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.1
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.5
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.