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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Heat56%95103
22Wizards44%9398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
37.0
24.9
17
54%
5
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
3-8
38%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
29.6
27.3
13
46%
4
8
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
49%
3-7
43%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
28.3
23.3
15
94%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
5-8
63%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
24.3
22.9
14
100%
8
1
0
0
0
6
0
8
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
4-6
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
21.3
6.9
2
33%
6
1
0
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
33.3
22.0
23
55%
6
4
3
1
0
1
2
4
6-7
86%
7-11
2-3
64%
48%
1-7
14%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
26.7
20.0
8
61%
7
1
1
1
3
3
2
5
8-8
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
21.4
22.8
8
59%
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
44%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
18.2
13.8
3
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
25.2
1
5-10
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
21.0
0
2-4
48%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
39.9
33.9
17
44%
9
11
2
1
2
2
3
6
3-3
100%
7-17
7-15
41%
46%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
31.4
25.6
8
40%
3
2
3
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
26.1
25.0
12
57%
1
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
6-8
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
24.0
22.5
13
55%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-4
25%
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
20.9
23.9
8
58%
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
31.5
22.4
23
89%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
5-8
63%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
21.3
8.9
0
0%
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.3
19.6
22.4
9
51%
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
15.4
13.4
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
2-4
50%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
9.9
12.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
17.6
1
1-3
46%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
11.6
0
1-3
51%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.4
2.9
0
0-0
39%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.4
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.