Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Bucks	53%	99	103	94.5	109	96.5
	29	Magic	47%	98	113	105.6	107	99.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	47.2	21	33%	7	11	2	1	2	1	2	5	6-10	60%	6-19	32%	1-8	13%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	36.8	14	58%	7	0	3	0	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	15.3	5	25%	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	1	1-2	50%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 27	7.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	6.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	42.1	16	47%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	1-7	14%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	41.3	17	45%	25	3	0	7	1	2	6	19	3-5	60%	7-17	41%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	36.6	17	61%	6	6	0	1	0	1	0	6	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	21.9	8	100%	6	2	1	1	3	5	3	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	10.5	2	100%	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ersan Ilyasova # 7 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ekpe Udoh #13 · C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	103	44%	56	26	7	11	12	0	15	41	17-26	65%	31-73	42%	8-28	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	47.2	21	33%	7	11	2	1	2	1	2	5	6-10	60%	6-19	32%	1-8	13%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	36.8	14	58%	7	0	3	0	2	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	15.3	5	25%	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	1	1-2	50%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 27	7.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	6.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29	42.1	16	47%	2	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	1-7	14%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	41.3	17	45%	25	3	0	7	1	2	6	19	3-5	60%	7-17	41%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	36.6	17	61%	6	6	0	1	0	1	0	6	4-6	67%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	21.9	8	100%	6	2	1	1	3	5	3	3	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 25	10.5	2	100%	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ersan Ilyasova # 7 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ekpe Udoh #13 · C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	103	44%	56	26	7	11	12	0	15	41	17-26	65%	31-73	42%	8-28	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	51.0	14	54%	4	1	1	1	2	3	0	4	0-1	0%	7-9	78%	0-4	0%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 31	46.7	13	30%	4	11	2	0	5	3	1	3	0-0	-	5-21	24%	1-1	100%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	45.0	30	75%	19	5	0	0	2	4	7	12	1-3	33%	10-16	63%	3-4	75%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	40.3	30	56%	20	5	1	2	4	3	6	14	2-3	67%	14-26	54%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore G · 6'4" 191 · 24	23.0	4	33%	2	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 21	35.0	16	80%	4	2	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	14.0	4	33%	7	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	8.0	2	20%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	\| DND - Sprained Right Ankle
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	\| DND - Strained Right Hamstring
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 34	\| DND - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Glen Davis #11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	50%	62	27	6	3	16	0	18	44	3-8	38%	43-94	46%	8-15	53%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.88 44.0%

ORL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

17

31

55%

ORL

29

51

57%

Midrange

MIL

14

42

33%

ORL

14

43

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

8

12.0

28

29%

43%

ORL

8

12.0

15

53%

80%

Free Throws

MIL

17

26

65%

ORL

3

8

38%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ellis	21	33%	10.5 / 32
J. Henson	17	45%	8.5 / 19
M. Dunleavy	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Redick	16	47%	8.0 / 17
M. Daniels	14	58%	7.0 / 12
G. Ayon	8	100%	4.0 / 4
L. Sanders	5	25%	2.5 / 10
B. Jennings	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1
L. Mbah a Moute	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Harris	30	75%	15.0 / 20
N. Vučević	30	56%	15.0 / 27
D. Lamb	16	80%	8.0 / 10
M. Harkless	14	54%	7.0 / 13
B. Udrih	13	30%	6.5 / 22
E. Moore	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. O'Quinn	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Nicholson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 26 102.0	MIL 94.5 ORL 105.6 +11.1
Pace	4 94.8 16 91.9	MIL 96.5 ORL 99.2 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 13 15.7	MIL 14.9 ORL 14.5 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 20 48.5%	MIL 42.6% ORL 50.5% +7.9%
TO %	5 14.3% 14 15.2%	MIL 10.4% −2.7% ORL 13.1%
ORB %	11 27.9% 22 25.4%	MIL 25.4% ORL 30.5% +5.1%
FTrt	27 23.6 30 19.7	MIL 25.7 +18.4 ORL 7.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 12 60.5%	MIL 66.7% +13.8% ORL 52.9%
STL %	11 8.8% 30 7.0%	MIL 6.4% +0.8% ORL 5.6%
BLK %	4 10.1% 24 7.0%	MIL 11.7% +7.6% ORL 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 22 50.2%	MIL 44.0% ORL 50.0% +6.0%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 12 58.5%	MIL 54.8% ORL 56.9% +2.1%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 13 39.6%	MIL 33.3% +0.7% ORL 32.6%
3P %	14 36.0% 29 32.9%	MIL 28.6% ORL 53.3% +24.7%
FT %	22 73.6% 15 75.5%	MIL 65.4% +27.9% ORL 37.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 19 35.4%	MIL 30.7% ORL 46.8% +16.1%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 20 42.3%	MIL 41.6% ORL 39.4% −2.1%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 20 22.3%	MIL 27.7% +14.0% ORL 13.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	ORL
Possessions	109	107
Possession Minutes	27.1	25.9
Points	103	113
Rebounds	56	62
Assists	26	27
Steals	7	6
Blocks	11	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (0)	44 (3)
Field Goals	39-101	51-109
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	29-51
Midrange FG	14-42	14-43
2-Point FG	31-73	43-94
3-Point FG	8-28	8-15
Free Throws	17-26	3-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg