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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks53%99103
29Magic47%98113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.5
47.2
31.2
21
33%
7
11
2
2
1
2
2
5
6-10
60%
6-19
4-9
32%
48%
1-8
13%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
36.8
19.3
14
58%
7
0
3
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
15.3
29.1
5
25%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-9
5-10
22%
51%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
7.1
24.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.5
6.2
32.3
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-8
-
45%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
42.1
25.1
16
46%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
50%
1-7
14%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
41.3
6.6
17
44%
25
3
0
0
7
1
6
19
3-5
60%
7-17
1-3
41%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.6
36.6
23.5
17
62%
6
6
0
1
1
0
0
6
4-6
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
21.9
10.9
8
100%
6
2
1
0
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
10.5
5.0
2
100%
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
4.7
0
1-2
52%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
4.0
0
1-2
46%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
2.5
0
0-0
54%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
51.0
30.9
14
52%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-1
0%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-4
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
46.7
35.6
13
30%
4
11
2
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
5-21
4-9
24%
50%
1-1
100%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
45.0
38.5
30
70%
19
5
0
1
0
2
7
12
1-3
33%
10-16
6-12
63%
50%
3-4
75%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.5
40.3
35.7
30
55%
20
5
1
1
2
4
6
14
2-3
67%
14-26
7-14
54%
52%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
23.0
17.9
4
33%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
35.0
13.7
16
80%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
4-6
67%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
14.0
14.1
4
31%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-1
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
8.0
20.3
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
53%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.8
2.0
19.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.2
9.7
0
1-2
47%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
8.2
0
1-3
51%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.1
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.