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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nets44%94101
20Celtics56%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
39.2
29.7
29
65%
4
12
0
1
1
1
2
2
10-10
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.8
35.8
25.0
20
67%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
4-6
67%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.9
30.8
30.5
1
28%
14
0
1
1
0
0
0
14
1-4
25%
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
30.5
28.3
21
65%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
5-5
100%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
14.8
26.8
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
21.8
10.7
7
42%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
41%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
20.9
17.0
9
113%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
3-3
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
17.3
16.8
6
38%
2
0
2
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
14.7
17.3
6
80%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
7.0
22.1
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
2.8
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
2.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
1.9
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.9
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
35.3
31.0
11
32%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-13
5-9
15%
52%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.5
32.8
23.7
23
82%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
6-7
86%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
27.6
15.2
11
48%
8
4
1
1
0
3
2
6
1-1
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
26.3
33.3
10
45%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
51%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
12.2
28.5
2
33%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
26.5
18.1
7
70%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
24.8
22.9
4
25%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.5
19.8
20.3
7
60%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.4
15.7
14.3
2
50%
9
1
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
10.0
13.3
8
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
6.3
18.4
6
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
60%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
2.8
2.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.1
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.