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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs52%10286
8Nuggets48%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
29.3
33.3
8
40%
11
1
3
2
0
1
5
6
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
55%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.0
26.9
29.3
17
54%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
24.1
25.1
10
45%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
47%
0-3
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.3
22.4
21.7
10
51%
3
4
2
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
57%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
21.0
20.3
2
50%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
27.0
16.1
6
34%
4
4
0
1
1
3
2
2
3-4
75%
0-6
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.0
24.0
12.9
12
72%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
23.9
20.8
17
52%
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
3-8
38%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
20.3
8.2
2
13%
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-5
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.0
14.7
13.7
0
0%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
6.4
7.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
23.9
1
5-10
52%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.7
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
43.5
34.0
12
47%
13
10
3
2
0
7
2
11
1-4
25%
4-10
3-7
40%
49%
1-1
100%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
40.6
26.0
29
67%
8
4
2
1
1
3
3
5
4-4
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
48%
3-7
43%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.1
33.8
29.2
12
56%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
25.0
26.8
3
31%
7
0
0
1
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-4
5-9
25%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
20.6
21.0
2
20%
10
1
0
1
1
0
6
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
56%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.1
34.0
28.1
28
51%
3
2
1
2
0
0
1
2
2-5
40%
10-20
4-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.4
18.4
19.4
6
38%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
16.4
13.6
2
25%
10
1
2
0
4
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
7.8
11.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
14.0
1
2-4
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
5.5
0
1-1
51%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
4.7
0
1-1
47%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.4
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.