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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Timberwolves21%9495
3Clippers79%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
36.0
20.6
13
44%
10
1
3
0
1
1
4
6
6-6
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
30.0
27.5
8
34%
7
3
1
1
2
1
3
4
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.2
26.7
22.5
11
56%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.3
25.3
30.1
20
62%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
6-7
86%
7-13
5-11
54%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
23.3
27.5
6
34%
2
7
1
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
38%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
27.0
23.4
7
35%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
23.7
17.4
12
57%
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
22.7
16.7
4
50%
8
1
3
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
19.3
19.6
12
50%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
3.0
5.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.7
3.0
3.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
24.9
1
4-9
47%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
9.0
0
1-3
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.9
30.9
33.9
19
77%
7
11
4
2
2
1
1
6
3-3
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
54%
2-2
100%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 24.1
29.7
32.2
19
66%
8
7
1
1
0
5
4
4
1-3
33%
9-13
7-12
69%
56%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.7
24.7
26.3
10
83%
4
0
0
1
5
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-6
83%
64%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.1
24.3
23.8
10
71%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
19.4
17.4
15
84%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
3-3
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.1
28.6
27.7
11
46%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
48%
3-8
38%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 33.1
20.9
21.7
14
71%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
55%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.5
20.4
18.0
6
63%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.4
18.4
14.3
2
35%
13
4
0
0
2
1
3
10
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.3
17.1
13.7
3
38%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.2
2.8
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.9
2.8
3.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.5
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.5
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.