Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Bulls	34%	98	95	97.9	97	105.2
	3	Heat	66%	104	107	108.1	99	91.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 25	34.4	12	35%	1	4	0	0	5	2	0	1	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 32	32.4	31	78%	7	2	1	1	2	4	3	4	5-5	100%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III G · 6'6" 230 · 24	29.9	20	67%	3	3	5	1	2	4	0	3	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 29	29.5	4	25%	5	4	2	0	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 29	20.1	2	20%	11	2	2	2	2	2	2	9	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 33	29.5	6	50%	1	3	0	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 28	29.3	10	56%	8	3	0	0	0	1	4	4	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	22.9	10	50%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Tony Snell G · 6'7" 221 · 22	6.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 36	5.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marquis Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erik Murphy F · 6'10" 230 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	41	23	11	4	18	0	11	30	18-23	78%	28-57	49%	7-26	27%

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11 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 25	34.4	12	35%	1	4	0	0	5	2	0	1	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	1-7	14%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 32	32.4	31	78%	7	2	1	1	2	4	3	4	5-5	100%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III G · 6'6" 230 · 24	29.9	20	67%	3	3	5	1	2	4	0	3	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 29	29.5	4	25%	5	4	2	0	3	4	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 29	20.1	2	20%	11	2	2	2	2	2	2	9	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 33	29.5	6	50%	1	3	0	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 28	29.3	10	56%	8	3	0	0	0	1	4	4	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33	22.9	10	50%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Tony Snell G · 6'7" 221 · 22	6.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 36	5.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marquis Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Erik Murphy F · 6'10" 230 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	41	23	11	4	18	0	11	30	18-23	78%	28-57	49%	7-26	27%

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3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	38.0	17	57%	6	8	1	0	2	0	0	6	7-9	78%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	36.1	13	43%	4	3	1	1	3	4	0	4	2-5	40%	4-12	33%	1-1	100%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	31.4	16	62%	6	0	0	3	1	3	1	5	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	26.8	13	59%	3	4	5	0	3	2	2	1	6-7	86%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	21.5	6	60%	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	26.3	11	69%	1	7	0	1	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.2	14	117%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-4	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	21.2	11	79%	7	3	1	0	3	0	0	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	16.6	6	60%	8	0	2	2	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Roger Mason Jr. #21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	59%	40	26	10	7	18	0	5	35	22-29	76%	26-52	50%	11-20	55%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.00 50.0%

MIA

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

24

36

67%

MIA

16

25

64%

Midrange

CHI

4

21

19%

MIA

10

27

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

7

10.5

26

27%

40%

MIA

11

16.5

20

55%

83%

Free Throws

CHI

18

23

78%

MIA

22

29

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Boozer	31	78%	15.5 / 20
J. Butler	20	67%	10.0 / 15
D. Rose	12	35%	6.0 / 17
T. Gibson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Hinrich	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Deng	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Noah	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Snell	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Bosh	16	62%	8.0 / 13
S. Battier	14	117%	7.0 / 6
D. Wade	13	43%	6.5 / 15
M. Chalmers	13	59%	6.5 / 11
R. Allen	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Cole	11	79%	5.5 / 7
U. Haslem	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Andersen	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 103.2 4 110.7	CHI 97.9 MIA 108.1 +10.1
Pace	29 89.6 26 91.5	CHI 105.2 +13.3 MIA 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time	3 16.3 9 15.8	CHI 13.7 −2.0 MIA 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 47.1% 1 55.4%	CHI 46.4% MIA 59.0% +12.6%
TO %	22 15.4% 20 15.4%	CHI 16.9% −2.2% MIA 19.1%
ORB %	10 27.2% 29 20.6%	CHI 23.9% +9.6% MIA 14.3%
FTrt	14 29.0 9 30.0	CHI 27.7 MIA 40.3 +12.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 65.4% 13 58.8%	CHI 65.7% MIA 70.3% +4.6%
STL %	17 8.0% 1 9.7%	CHI 11.3% +1.2% MIA 10.1%
BLK %	7 8.3% 11 8.1%	CHI 7.7% MIA 12.3% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 50.0% 1 57.5%	CHI 50.0% MIA 59.4% +9.4%
Rim FG%	30 54.2% 1 66.7%	CHI 66.7% +2.7% MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%	24 37.8% 1 42.8%	CHI 19.0% MIA 37.0% +18.0%
3P %	24 34.8% 12 36.4%	CHI 26.9% MIA 55.0% +28.1%
FT %	8 77.9% 15 76.0%	CHI 78.3% +2.4% MIA 75.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 37.0% 9 38.3%	CHI 43.4% +8.7% MIA 34.7%
Mid Att. %	23 40.8% 4 32.5%	CHI 25.3% −12.2% MIA 37.5%
3P Att. %	25 22.2% 6 29.2%	CHI 31.3% +3.5% MIA 27.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	CHI	MIA
Possessions	97	99
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	95	107
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	23	26
Steals	11	10
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	35 (2)
Field Goals	35-83	37-72
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	16-25
Midrange FG	4-21	10-27
2-Point FG	28-57	26-52
3-Point FG	7-26	11-20
Free Throws	18-23	22-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg