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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Celtics
87
16Raptors
93
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
40
25
3
3
2
4
1
0
5
0
3
1-4
25%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
37
27
25
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
7-9
78%
6-13
4-7
46%
47%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.5
32
25
17
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
31
25
8
5
4
2
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
27
9
13
3
0
0
0
3
3
1
2
5-8
63%
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
21
14
8
9
0
0
0
2
2
2
7
2-3
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.0
18
19
7
3
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
16
15
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
14
22
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.7
4
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.7
20
1
2-5
48%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.8
13
0
2-4
47%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.5
12
0
0-0
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
40
31
13
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
0-2
0%
5-16
6-12
31%
46%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.6
35
29
11
3
8
2
1
0
2
2
1
7-12
58%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
34
30
19
8
1
2
1
0
5
2
6
2-3
67%
7-16
5-11
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
31
25
8
11
0
1
0
2
3
5
6
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
55%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.5
24
30
13
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-5
4-7
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.0
25
12
7
12
0
0
0
3
0
5
7
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
18
18
8
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.0
13
18
5
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.7
12
18
6
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
7
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
8
0
1-2
45%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
8
0
1-1
43%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
3
0
0-0
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.