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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Wizards44%98102
20Pistons56%100113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
39
32
20
2
11
3
1
0
4
2
0
4-6
67%
8-17
6-15
47%
44%
0-4
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.3
38
29
17
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
4-12
3-7
33%
43%
2-6
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
38
23
28
10
3
1
1
0
2
1
9
6-8
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
6-11
55%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
30
23
12
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
4-7
57%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
20
15
2
5
3
0
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
21
27
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-1
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
18
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
17
26
9
9
0
0
1
1
3
4
5
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.4
9
8
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
5
21
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.9
4
15
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.5
10
0
1-2
51%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 22.8
10
0
1-2
45%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.4
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
41
32
24
16
3
1
1
1
5
5
11
12-15
80%
6-15
6-13
40%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.9
40
31
19
5
5
0
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
5-11
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.8
38
13
19
1
5
2
1
1
4
0
1
4-6
67%
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.1
31
14
16
3
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
4-5
80%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.2
26
24
12
8
1
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
27
25
8
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
3-3
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.7
27
22
9
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
45%
0-3
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.7
8
18
6
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
0
13
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.6
0
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.2
14
0
1-3
45%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.7
8
0
1-2
49%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.1
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.