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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
October 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies35%9694
1Spurs65%101101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.8
34.0
35.0
14
47%
9
2
1
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
7-15
6-12
47%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.8
28.1
24.6
15
80%
3
2
2
2
1
3
1
2
0-3
0%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
3-3
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
27.2
35.3
14
41%
2
8
2
2
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-14
4-10
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
25.7
28.0
2
17%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-6
5-11
17%
45%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.7
19.8
22.0
9
41%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
24.8
7.3
11
75%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
22.0
21.7
5
25%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-9
2-6
22%
42%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
21.9
19.7
13
63%
2
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3-3
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
14.0
22.8
7
61%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.5
9.8
2.9
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
7.9
13.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.7
4.8
6.1
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.3
6.1
0
1-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
31.3
31.6
13
41%
1
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-11
6-13
18%
50%
2-3
67%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
30.3
33.2
14
71%
7
1
0
2
2
4
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
55%
2-2
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.8
28.5
23.9
11
62%
8
2
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
55%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
22.6
30.2
7
50%
1
1
0
1
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.5
17.3
28.0
3
20%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-3
33%
1-6
6-12
17%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
24.2
21.6
12
67%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.5
20.3
17.5
14
71%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
5-6
1-3
83%
52%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
19.0
22.8
5
43%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.2
16.7
8.5
12
135%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
3-3
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
16.5
9.3
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
11.3
4.7
2
100%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
2.0
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
10.1
0
1-2
46%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.