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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
November 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls69%106104
2276ers31%99107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.1
39.0
35.3
9
65%
6
4
1
2
2
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.5
36.7
31.3
20
43%
7
4
2
1
0
1
3
4
4-5
80%
8-18
4-9
44%
47%
0-3
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
32.5
31.5
13
41%
4
6
0
1
0
8
2
2
4-4
100%
3-11
6-13
27%
49%
1-3
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
32.2
30.4
10
42%
9
3
2
1
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
31.9
31.3
22
62%
10
2
0
1
0
0
3
7
4-4
100%
9-16
7-13
56%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
23.9
23.3
12
67%
7
0
1
1
1
2
5
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.8
19.5
26.7
9
51%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.1
16.4
16.7
7
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
7.8
4.7
2
100%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
5.0
0
0-1
41%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.0
4.5
0
0-1
47%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
2.3
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.0
38.9
33.9
20
52%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
6-7
86%
7-16
5-11
44%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
37.1
30.8
26
54%
4
10
3
1
0
4
3
1
4-5
80%
8-17
3-6
47%
42%
2-5
40%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.5
30.4
30.6
18
82%
11
2
1
0
3
2
3
8
0-0
-
6-7
4-9
86%
47%
2-4
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.6
29.6
30.5
1
10%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
28.8
32.4
13
72%
7
2
1
2
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
6-13
40%
50%
3-4
75%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.6
22.7
18.3
11
46%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-2
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
3-6
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.7
17.6
19.0
6
60%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 23.2
16.9
12.4
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.8
10.8
12.9
6
61%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.6
5.0
8.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
2.3
4.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.6
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.6
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.