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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies
99
11Mavericks
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
38
31
24
4
8
3
2
1
1
2
2
9-10
90%
6-12
4-10
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.8
36
34
23
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
7-7
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
35
30
21
14
2
1
1
0
2
5
9
3-4
75%
9-16
5-11
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.8
20
29
0
3
0
1
2
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
4-9
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.7
17
19
3
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
31
19
11
7
2
0
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
18
25
4
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
17
15
7
8
0
0
0
0
1
6
2
1-2
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
14
19
2
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.7
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
6
13
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.5
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.3
4
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
39
28
15
2
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
3-7
43%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
38
33
18
3
2
3
2
0
2
1
2
8-10
80%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.5
34
26
21
14
4
0
1
2
1
6
8
9-10
90%
6-15
4-8
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
32
30
24
6
1
2
1
0
2
0
6
7-8
88%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
26
21
14
9
2
2
0
0
2
2
7
6-6
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
26
25
11
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.5
22
17
8
6
0
4
1
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
16
13
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
7
17
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.9
16
0
1-3
45%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
5
0
0-1
49%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.1
5
0
1-1
45%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.