Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	61%	108	103	99.0	104	113.0
	29	Lakers	39%	105	105	101.0	104	96.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	37.3	22	110%	2	4	2	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-6	100%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	33.6	12	43%	16	2	2	1	4	4	3	13	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	32.7	14	39%	6	4	2	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	7-15	47%	0-3	0%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	28.9	14	54%	7	4	1	1	1	4	3	4	6-10	60%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	18.6	5	42%	3	3	0	0	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	27.8	9	64%	4	3	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	21.6	13	43%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	21.6	10	38%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	7.7	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	5.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	4.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jared Cunningham G · 6'4" 194 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gustavo Ayon #14 · · 6'10" 250 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	49%	52	26	9	3	11	0	10	42	14-26	54%	31-68	46%	9-22	41%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	37.3	22	110%	2	4	2	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-6	100%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	33.6	12	43%	16	2	2	1	4	4	3	13	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	32.7	14	39%	6	4	2	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	7-15	47%	0-3	0%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	28.9	14	54%	7	4	1	1	1	4	3	4	6-10	60%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	18.6	5	42%	3	3	0	0	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	27.8	9	64%	4	3	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	21.6	13	43%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	3-4	75%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	21.6	10	38%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	7.7	2	33%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	5.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	4.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jared Cunningham G · 6'4" 194 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gustavo Ayon #14 · · 6'10" 250 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	49%	52	26	9	3	11	0	10	42	14-26	54%	31-68	46%	9-22	41%

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29 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 34	32.4	3	30%	5	7	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 40	29.1	13	46%	3	6	1	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 33	27.7	16	38%	13	2	0	1	3	1	0	13	5-7	71%	4-16	25%	1-2	50%
Xavier Henry F · 6'6" 220 · 23	25.9	18	60%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	6-8	75%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 28	17.7	7	70%	4	0	1	1	1	6	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 26	20.9	9	64%	7	0	0	3	0	5	3	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28	20.8	13	65%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 27	18.8	5	31%	5	3	2	0	4	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 26	17.0	5	50%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 32	16.1	10	71%	5	1	0	1	3	5	0	5	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jordan Hill F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	13.6	6	100%	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Elias Harris F · 6'8" 239 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Kelly #4 · F · 6'11" 230 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kobe Bryant #24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	53	27	5	7	13	0	6	47	20-24	83%	29-64	45%	9-25	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.97 48.6%

LAL

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

15

27

56%

LAL

15

26

58%

Midrange

ATL

16

41

39%

LAL

14

38

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9

13.5

22

41%

61%

LAL

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

Free Throws

ATL

14

26

54%

LAL

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Korver	22	110%	11.0 / 10
J. Teague	14	39%	7.0 / 18
P. Millsap	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Scott	13	43%	6.5 / 15
A. Horford	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. Schröder	10	38%	5.0 / 13
C. Martin	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Carroll	5	42%	2.5 / 6
P. Antic	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Jenkins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
E. Brand	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
X. Henry	18	60%	9.0 / 15
P. Gasol	16	38%	8.0 / 21
S. Nash	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Young	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Kaman	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Johnson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Williams	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Hill	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Farmar	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Meeks	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Blake	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.6 23 104.2	ATL 99.0 LAL 101.0 +1.9
Pace	11 95.0 1 98.8	ATL 113.0 +16.7 LAL 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 29 14.2	ATL 12.7 −2.2 LAL 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 51.5% 13 50.5%	ATL 49.4% +1.6% LAL 47.8%
TO %	17 15.2% 14 15.0%	ATL 11.4% −0.1% LAL 11.5%
ORB %	28 21.0% 30 20.3%	ATL 17.5% +5.0% LAL 12.5%
FTrt	21 26.6 22 26.3	ATL 28.9 +1.9 LAL 27.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.7% 3 63.9%	ATL 65.0% LAL 71.1% +6.1%
STL %	9 8.7% 23 7.6%	ATL 8.7% +3.9% LAL 4.8%
BLK %	28 6.5% 10 8.1%	ATL 4.7% LAL 10.3% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.7% 12 53.2%	ATL 48.6% LAL 51.5% +2.9%
Rim FG%	10 59.2% 13 58.2%	ATL 55.6% LAL 57.7% +2.1%
Mid FG%	5 41.3% 20 38.5%	ATL 39.0% +2.2% LAL 36.8%
3P %	13 36.3% 3 38.1%	ATL 40.9% +4.9% LAL 36.0%
FT %	6 78.1% 17 75.7%	ATL 53.8% LAL 83.3% +29.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 23 33.5%	ATL 30.0% +0.8% LAL 29.2%
Mid Att. %	6 34.5% 12 37.4%	ATL 45.6% LAL 42.7% −2.9%
3P Att. %	2 31.6% 7 29.1%	ATL 24.4% LAL 28.1% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	LAL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	103	105
Rebounds	52	53
Assists	26	27
Steals	9	5
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (2)	47 (0)
Field Goals	40-90	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	15-26
Midrange FG	16-41	14-38
2-Point FG	31-68	29-64
3-Point FG	9-22	9-25
Free Throws	14-26	20-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg