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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat64%106104
17Raptors36%10195
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
36
36
35
8
8
0
2
1
1
2
6
8-8
100%
12-17
7-12
71%
55%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.8
34
35
20
6
5
2
2
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
9-18
7-14
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
28
29
5
4
7
2
2
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
22
15
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
20
19
8
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.3
30
28
14
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.2
21
7
4
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
20
21
6
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.3
17
15
6
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
9
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
4
5
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
14
0
1-2
43%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
2
0
0-0
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.6
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
40
35
21
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
8-12
6-14
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.6
35
32
13
3
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
2-8
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
34
32
13
10
2
1
1
0
4
3
7
6-7
86%
2-7
5-12
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
27
20
18
9
0
0
0
1
0
4
5
4-6
67%
7-13
3-5
54%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.5
24
30
6
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
56%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
28
24
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-3
33%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.7
24
16
11
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.0
16
19
8
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
6-7
86%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.0
13
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
7
0
1-1
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
6
0
1-1
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
4
0
0-1
43%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
2
0
0-0
46%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.