| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 118.2 | 88 | 84.3 |
 TOR | 110.5 | 86 | 90.0 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
77
+14
-11
91
TOR
71
+14
-15
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.14 57.1%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 104 100% | 95 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | TOR | Valanciunas 1' Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Gay 2 AST) | 104 99.9% | 95 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS) | 104 99.9% | 93 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS) | 103 99.9% | 93 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 102 99.9% | 93 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 102 99.9% | 92 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13) | 102 99.9% | 92 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 102 99.9% | 92 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 102 99.9% | 91 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | MIA | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 102 99.9% | 90 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 99 99.6% | 90 0.4% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 99.5% | 90 0.5% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS) | 99 99.0% | 90 1.0% |
| Q4 - 1:51 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 96 97.4% | 90 2.6% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot | 96 97.0% | 90 3.0% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | TOR | Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 96 95.5% | 90 4.5% |
| Q4 - 2:05 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Pullup Jump Shot | 96 96.2% | 90 3.8% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS) | 96 97.5% | 90 2.5% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS) | 96 97.6% | 89 2.4% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS) | 96 97.8% | 88 2.2% |
| Q4 - 2:26 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 96 98.9% | 87 1.1% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 99.1% | 87 0.9% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | TOR | DeRozan 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) | 96 99.4% | 87 0.6% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 96 99.4% | 85 0.6% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 99.5% | 85 0.5% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | TOR | Lowry Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 96 99.6% | 85 0.4% |
| Q4 - 3:24 | MIA | DeRozan STEAL (1 STL) | 96 99.4% | 85 0.6% |
| Q4 - 3:25 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 96 99.6% | 85 0.4% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | MIA | MISS James 3' Jump Shot | 96 99.5% | 85 0.5% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 96 99.1% | 85 0.9% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | MIA | MISS Lewis 7' Jump Hook Shot | 96 98.9% | 85 1.1% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 96 99.2% | 85 0.8% |
| Q4 - 4:05 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 96 99.6% | 82 0.4% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 99.7% | 82 0.3% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 96 99.8% | 82 0.2% |
| Q4 - 4:35 | TOR | MISS Fields 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 96 99.7% | 82 0.3% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Lewis 5 AST) | 96 99.6% | 82 0.4% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | TOR | Ross Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 93 98.7% | 82 1.3% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | TOR | Ross Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 93 98.8% | 81 1.2% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | MIA | Allen 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 93 99.1% | 80 0.9% |
| Q4 - 5:33 | MIA | Allen Free Throw Technical (9 PTS) | 91 98.7% | 80 1.3% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | TOR | Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 90 98.3% | 80 1.7% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | TOR | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 90 98.4% | 79 1.6% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 90 98.2% | 78 1.8% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 98.3% | 78 1.7% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 90 98.7% | 78 1.3% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | TOR | MISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot | 90 98.6% | 78 1.4% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw Technical (16 PTS) | 90 98.2% | 78 1.8% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 90 98.7% | 77 1.3% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Cole 4' Running Jump Shot | 90 98.8% | 77 1.2% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 90 99.1% | 77 0.9% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 90 98.8% | 77 1.2% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | TOR | Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 90 98.7% | 77 1.3% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | TOR | MISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 | 90 98.8% | 76 1.2% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 90 98.7% | 76 1.3% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 90 98.8% | 76 1.2% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | TOR | Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 90 99.0% | 76 1.0% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | TOR | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 90 99.1% | 75 0.9% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | James 2' Layup (27 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 90 99.2% | 74 0.8% |
| Q4 - 7:58 | TOR | Augustin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14) | 88 99.0% | 74 1.0% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | MIA | Andersen 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 88 98.3% | 74 1.7% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | TOR | Hansbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T13) | 86 97.8% | 74 2.2% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | MIA | Andersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 86 97.2% | 74 2.8% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | TOR | Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12) | 86 97.8% | 74 2.2% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 86 97.2% | 74 2.8% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIA | MISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 97.4% | 74 2.6% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | TOR | Fields Traveling Turnover (P1.T11) | 86 97.3% | 74 2.7% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | TOR | Fields REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 86 96.6% | 74 3.4% |
| Q4 - 9:17 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Bank Shot | 86 96.8% | 74 3.2% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | TOR | Augustin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 86 97.3% | 74 2.7% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 86 96.6% | 74 3.4% |
| Q4 - 10:07 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 84 95.0% | 74 5.0% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | TOR | MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 94.7% | 74 5.3% |
| Q4 - 10:18 | MIA | Andersen 2' Running Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 84 93.8% | 74 6.2% |
| Q4 - 10:21 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 82 92.4% | 74 7.6% |
| Q4 - 10:23 | MIA | MISS Allen 2' Driving Layup | 82 91.2% | 74 8.8% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | TOR | Gay Foul Turnover (P3.T9) | 82 92.5% | 74 7.5% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 82 90.7% | 74 9.3% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | MIA | MISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 1 | 82 91.0% | 74 9.0% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | TOR | DeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 80 88.6% | 74 11.4% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | MIA | Cole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 4 AST) | 80 85.1% | 74 14.9% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | TOR | DeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 78 82.3% | 74 17.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 78 78.9% | 74 21.1% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Wade 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS) | 78 78.9% | 74 21.1% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Lewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 76 74.8% | 74 25.2% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | TOR | MISS Fields 3' Driving Layup | 76 73.7% | 74 26.3% |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Allen Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 76 70.9% | 74 29.1% |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | TOR | Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 76 74.8% | 74 25.2% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | MIA | Lewis 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 76 81.4% | 71 18.6% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 74.6% | 71 25.4% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | TOR | MISS Gay 21' Jump Shot | 73 73.5% | 71 26.5% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | MIA | Lewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T9) | 73 70.9% | 71 29.1% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 74.2% | 71 25.8% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | TOR | MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 73.1% | 71 26.9% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | MIA | Allen 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 73 70.4% | 71 29.6% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | TOR | Gay 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Fields 1 AST) | 71 66.5% | 71 33.5% |
| Q3 - 3:10 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 71 70.4% | 69 29.6% |
| Q3 - 3:11 | MIA | MISS James 3' Driving Layup | 71 71.6% | 69 28.4% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | TOR | Gay Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 71 74.2% | 69 25.8% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 71 80.2% | 66 19.8% |
| Q3 - 3:26 | TOR | MISS Gay 2' Layup | 71 82.3% | 66 17.7% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | MIA | James 3' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 71 80.2% | 66 19.8% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS) | 69 77.4% | 66 22.6% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 82.2% | 63 17.8% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | MISS Haslem 3' Layup | 69 83.2% | 63 16.8% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 69 85.1% | 63 14.9% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 83.2% | 63 16.8% |
| Q3 - 4:33 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 85.1% | 63 14.9% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 69 84.3% | 63 15.7% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 69 82.3% | 63 17.7% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 83.2% | 63 16.8% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | TOR | DeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST) | 69 84.5% | 63 15.5% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | MIA | James 2' Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 69 86.2% | 61 13.8% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | TOR | Gay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 67 84.5% | 61 15.5% |
| Q3 - 5:52 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 67 81.8% | 61 18.2% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot | 67 82.7% | 61 17.3% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | TOR | DeRozan 9' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST) | 67 84.1% | 61 15.9% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 67 85.9% | 59 14.1% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | MIA | MISS James 3PT Jump Shot | 67 86.5% | 59 13.5% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | TOR | Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 67 87.9% | 59 12.1% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | TOR | Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 67 88.2% | 58 11.8% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 67 88.8% | 57 11.2% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 64 85.5% | 57 14.5% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 64 84.0% | 57 16.0% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | TOR | Valanciunas 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST) | 64 85.6% | 57 14.4% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (16 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 64 86.9% | 55 13.1% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 62 85.4% | 55 14.6% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 83.8% | 55 16.2% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | TOR | DeRozan 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 62 85.4% | 55 14.6% |
| Q3 - 9:09 | MIA | Wade 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 62 86.7% | 53 13.3% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 60 85.0% | 53 15.0% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 60 83.6% | 53 16.4% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 60 85.0% | 53 15.0% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | TOR | MISS Johnson 6' Driving Bank Shot | 60 84.4% | 53 15.6% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | MIA | James 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 60 82.9% | 53 17.1% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 80.9% | 53 19.1% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | TOR | MISS Lowry 5' Jump Hook Shot | 58 80.2% | 53 19.8% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 56 80.8% | 50 19.2% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | TOR | MISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot | 56 82.3% | 50 17.7% |
| Q3 - 11:07 | MIA | Wade 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 56 80.8% | 50 19.2% |
| Q3 - 11:16 | TOR | Johnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5) | 54 78.6% | 50 21.4% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | MIA | James 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 54 76.1% | 50 23.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 52 73.6% | 50 26.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 52 70.7% | 50 29.3% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 49 64.7% | 50 35.3% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 64.0% | 50 36.0% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS) | 49 62.3% | 50 37.7% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 46 55.2% | 50 44.8% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 | 46 54.9% | 50 45.1% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 46 52.6% | 50 47.4% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 46 55.9% | 49 44.1% |
| Q2 - 0:56.0 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 57.7% | 49 42.3% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 46 56.6% | 49 43.4% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 45 55.9% | 49 44.1% |
| Q2 - 1:21 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 44 52.3% | 49 47.7% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 44 51.7% | 49 48.3% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | MIA | Chalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T8) | 44 50.2% | 49 49.8% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | TOR | Ross Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 44 52.3% | 49 47.7% |
| Q2 - 1:41 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 44 50.2% | 49 49.8% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 44 50.9% | 49 49.1% |
| Q2 - 1:55 | TOR | Fields 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) | 44 52.3% | 49 47.7% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | TOR | Fields REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 44 56.6% | 47 43.4% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 58.0% | 47 42.0% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | MIA | Chalmers 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 44 56.5% | 47 43.5% |
| Q2 - 2:17 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 53.5% | 47 46.5% |
| Q2 - 2:18 | TOR | MISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 52.5% | 47 47.5% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MIA | Allen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 42 50.3% | 47 49.7% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 42 53.4% | 47 46.6% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | TOR | MISS Fields Free Throw 2 of 2 | 42 53.0% | 47 47.0% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | TOR | MISS Fields Free Throw 1 of 2 | 42 51.3% | 47 48.7% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 42 50.3% | 47 49.7% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 44.1% | 47 55.9% |
| Q2 - 3:01 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 43.3% | 47 56.7% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | TOR | Lowry 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 39 45.7% | 47 54.3% |
| Q2 - 3:25 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 48.0% | 45 52.0% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 13' Driving Hook Shot | 39 50.5% | 45 49.5% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | MIA | Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 39 48.0% | 45 52.0% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 43.5% | 45 56.5% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | TOR | MISS Ross 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 36 42.6% | 45 57.4% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 36 40.6% | 45 59.4% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 35 40.0% | 45 60.0% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 37.9% | 45 62.1% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | TOR | MISS Gay 21' Jump Shot | 34 37.0% | 45 63.0% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | Beasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T6) | 34 35.1% | 45 64.9% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | TOR | Valanciunas 1' Hook Shot (12 PTS) | 34 37.9% | 45 62.1% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 34 40.5% | 43 59.5% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 4' Driving Hook Shot | 34 43.4% | 43 56.6% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 34 41.6% | 43 58.4% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | MISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 42.4% | 43 57.6% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 34 44.2% | 43 55.8% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Beasley 5' Driving Jump Shot | 34 42.3% | 43 57.7% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | TOR | Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 34 44.2% | 43 55.8% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | TOR | Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 34 44.7% | 42 55.3% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 34 47.1% | 41 52.9% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | TOR | MISS Fields 3' Jump Shot | 34 49.0% | 41 51.0% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 34 47.1% | 41 52.9% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 34 47.4% | 41 52.6% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | TOR | MISS Gay 6' Jump Hook Shot | 34 49.8% | 41 50.2% |
| Q2 - 6:05 | TOR | MISS Gay 7' Jump Shot | 34 49.8% | 41 50.2% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | Cole 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 34 47.4% | 41 52.6% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | TOR | Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 32 45.2% | 41 54.8% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | MIA | Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 32 51.0% | 38 49.0% |
| Q2 - 7:32 | TOR | Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 29 46.0% | 38 54.0% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | MIA | Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST) | 29 50.9% | 35 49.1% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | TOR | Johnson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ross 2 AST) | 26 46.5% | 35 53.5% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | MIA | Lewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 26 48.9% | 33 51.1% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | MIA | MISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 48.4% | 33 51.6% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 49.0% | 33 51.0% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | TOR | MISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 48.2% | 33 51.8% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 25 46.3% | 33 53.7% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIA | MISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot | 25 47.1% | 33 52.9% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | TOR | Fields Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 25 49.9% | 33 50.1% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | TOR | Fields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 54.8% | 30 45.2% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | TOR | MISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot | 25 56.6% | 30 43.4% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 54.8% | 30 45.2% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot | 25 55.6% | 30 44.4% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 57.4% | 30 42.6% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | TOR | MISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot | 25 56.6% | 30 43.4% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | MIA | Andersen Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 25 54.6% | 30 45.4% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 25 57.5% | 30 42.5% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 25 56.6% | 30 43.4% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 54.7% | 30 45.3% |
| Q2 - 10:23 | MIA | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 55.5% | 30 44.5% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | TOR | Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 25 57.5% | 30 42.5% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | Wade 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST) | 25 61.9% | 27 38.1% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | TOR | DeRozan 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ross 1 AST) | 23 59.8% | 27 40.2% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | MIA | Ross STEAL (1 STL) | 23 62.0% | 25 38.0% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 64.4% | 25 35.6% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 23 63.6% | 25 36.4% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | TOR | Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 62.0% | 25 38.0% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Jump Hook Shot | 23 62.7% | 25 37.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 23 64.4% | 25 35.6% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 62.0% | 25 38.0% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 6' Driving Jump Shot | 23 62.9% | 25 37.1% |
| Q1 - 0:13.0 | TOR | DeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 23 64.0% | 25 36.0% |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 23 66.7% | 23 33.3% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | TOR | Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 20 61.8% | 23 38.2% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 20 67.0% | 20 33.0% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 19 66.5% | 20 33.5% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | TOR | Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 18 64.3% | 20 35.7% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | Andersen 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 18 62.8% | 20 37.2% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | MIA | Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 60.0% | 20 40.0% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | TOR | MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 59.5% | 20 40.5% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 16 58.3% | 20 41.7% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | MIA | MISS Andersen 3' Layup | 16 59.1% | 20 40.9% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 60.5% | 20 39.5% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 59.8% | 20 40.2% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | MIA | James 1' Putback Slam Dunk (10 PTS) | 16 58.4% | 20 41.6% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 14 56.0% | 20 44.0% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Layup | 14 54.6% | 20 45.4% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 56.0% | 20 44.0% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 3' Tip Shot | 14 55.4% | 20 44.6% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 14 54.0% | 20 46.0% |
| Q1 - 2:42 | TOR | MISS Fields 3' Jump Shot | 14 55.4% | 20 44.6% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | MIA | James 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST) | 14 54.0% | 20 46.0% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | TOR | Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 52.2% | 20 47.8% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | TOR | MISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 | 12 52.6% | 19 47.4% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 12 52.0% | 19 48.0% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 16' Jump Shot | 12 53.7% | 19 46.3% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 52.0% | 19 48.0% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | MIA | MISS James 6' Driving Hook Shot | 12 52.8% | 19 47.2% |
| Q1 - 3:51 | TOR | Johnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 54.4% | 19 45.6% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 52.7% | 19 47.3% |
| Q1 - 4:13 | MIA | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 12 53.4% | 19 46.6% |
| Q1 - 4:32 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 55.1% | 19 44.9% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 54.4% | 19 45.6% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | MIA | James 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 12 52.6% | 19 47.4% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | TOR | DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST) | 10 51.4% | 19 48.6% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIA | James 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 10 53.3% | 17 46.7% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | TOR | Valanciunas 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 8 51.4% | 17 48.6% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 8 53.3% | 15 46.7% |
| Q1 - 5:56 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 54.8% | 15 45.2% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 54.2% | 15 45.8% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Putback Layup | 8 54.8% | 15 45.2% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 56.3% | 15 43.7% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot | 8 54.8% | 15 45.2% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | TOR | Gay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 8 56.3% | 15 43.7% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MIA | Lowry STEAL (1 STL) | 8 54.1% | 15 45.9% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | TOR | Johnson 3' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST) | 8 56.2% | 15 43.8% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST) | 8 58.0% | 13 42.0% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 6 56.2% | 13 43.8% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Valanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK) | 6 54.7% | 13 45.3% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 56.2% | 13 43.8% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot | 6 54.7% | 13 45.3% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 6 56.9% | 13 43.1% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 6 57.3% | 12 42.7% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 6 58.4% | 11 41.6% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | TOR | Valanciunas 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 4 56.9% | 11 43.1% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 58.4% | 9 41.6% |
| Q1 - 7:54 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 3' Layup | 4 59.9% | 9 40.1% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIA | Battier 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 4 59.2% | 9 40.8% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | TOR | Valanciunas 3' Driving Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST) | 2 57.6% | 9 42.4% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | MIA | James 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 59.2% | 7 40.8% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | TOR | Valanciunas 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 0 58.4% | 7 41.6% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 59.9% | 5 40.1% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 0 60.4% | 5 39.6% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | TOR | Johnson 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 0 61.7% | 5 38.3% |
| Q1 - 9:55 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Backcourt (T#2) | 0 63.2% | 3 36.8% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 65.3% | 3 34.7% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | TOR | MISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 64.8% | 3 35.2% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 63.6% | 3 36.4% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 0 64.1% | 3 35.9% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | TOR | Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST) | 0 65.3% | 3 34.7% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | TOR | Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 68.2% | 0 31.8% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 0 68.7% | 0 31.3% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 69.7% | 0 30.3% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | TOR | MISS Johnson 2' Running Finger Roll Layup | 0 69.3% | 0 30.7% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | MIA | Gay STEAL (1 STL) | 0 68.4% | 0 31.6% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 69.7% | 0 30.3% |
| Q1 - 11:30 | TOR | MISS Johnson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 0 69.3% | 0 30.7% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Valanciunas vs. Battier: Tip to Lowry | 0 68.4% | 0 31.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.14 57.1%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
33
64%
TOR
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
10
27
37%
TOR
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
TOR
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
12
14
86%
TOR
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 35 | 76% | 17.5 / 23 | |
| D. Wade | 20 | 53% | 10.0 / 19 | |
| R. Allen | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| S. Battier | 8 | 100% | 4.0 / 4 | |
| N. Cole | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| C. Andersen | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| M. Beasley | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| M. Chalmers | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| R. Lewis | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| U. Haslem | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeRozan | 21 | 66% | 10.5 / 16 | |
| J. Valančiūnas | 18 | 56% | 9.0 / 16 | |
| K. Lowry | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| R. Gay | 13 | 50% | 6.5 / 13 | |
| T. Ross | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| T. Hansbrough | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| A. Johnson | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| L. Fields | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
77
+14
-11
91
TOR
71
+14
-15
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.14 57.1%
TOR
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.7 108.7 | MIA 118.2 +7.7 TOR 110.5 |
| Pace | 91.5 92.0 | MIA 84.3 TOR 90.0 +5.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 16.1 | MIA 17.1 TOR 16.0 +1.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 55.4% 49.8% | MIA 55.4% +8.2% TOR 47.2% |
| TO % | 15.4% 14.4% | MIA 12.7% +2.1% TOR 14.8% |
| ORB % | 20.6% 27.2% | MIA 27.0% TOR 31.7% +4.7% |
| FTrt | 30.0 30.6 | MIA 16.9 TOR 45.8 +28.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.8% 58.1% | MIA 75.6% +27.2% TOR 48.4% |
| STL % | 9.7% 7.6% | MIA 8.0% +3.3% TOR 4.7% |
| BLK % | 8.1% 6.9% | MIA 7.8% +6.1% TOR 1.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 57.5% 53.0% | MIA 57.1% +2.5% TOR 54.6% |
| Rim FG% | 66.7% 57.5% | MIA 63.6% +2.1% TOR 61.5% |
| Mid FG% | 42.8% 38.7% | MIA 37.0% +1.0% TOR 36.0% |
| 3P % | 36.4% 37.2% | MIA 43.5% +14.9% TOR 28.6% |
| FT % | 76.0% 78.3% | MIA 85.7% +3.9% TOR 81.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 38.3% 33.3% | MIA 39.8% +3.6% TOR 36.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 32.5% 38.2% | MIA 32.5% +2.2% TOR 34.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 29.2% 28.5% | MIA 27.7% TOR 29.2% +1.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 86 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.1 | 22.9 |
| Points | 104 | 95 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 40 |
| Assists | 31 | 15 |
| Steals | 7 | 4 |
| Blocks | 4 | 1 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (2) | 15 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (4) | 13 (1) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (1) | 27 (2) |
| Field Goals | 41-83 | 31-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 21-33 | 16-26 |
| Midrange FG | 10-27 | 9-25 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-60 | 25-51 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-23 | 6-21 |
| Free Throws | 12-14 | 27-33 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.