Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	68%	105	102	99.0	103	97.6
	22	Nuggets	32%	99	94	91.3	103	109.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 38	34.0	17	53%	8	8	0	4	4	4	2	6	3-3	100%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 22	33.9	14	50%	3	2	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	33.6	24	80%	4	6	2	1	5	2	0	4	6-6	100%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.4	4	29%	3	1	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 29	21.4	12	67%	8	1	0	1	0	1	4	4	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	26.9	6	27%	3	5	3	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32	26.3	9	45%	8	1	1	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	14.4	8	80%	0	2	3	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28	10.8	4	40%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34	8.5	3	150%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	5.8	1	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nando De Colo #25 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	39	27	14	9	16	0	8	31	18-20	90%	36-70	51%	4-16	25%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 38	34.0	17	53%	8	8	0	4	4	4	2	6	3-3	100%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 22	33.9	14	50%	3	2	2	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	33.6	24	80%	4	6	2	1	5	2	0	4	6-6	100%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.4	4	29%	3	1	1	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 29	21.4	12	67%	8	1	0	1	0	1	4	4	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	26.9	6	27%	3	5	3	0	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32	26.3	9	45%	8	1	1	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	14.4	8	80%	0	2	3	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28	10.8	4	40%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34	8.5	3	150%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	5.8	1	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nando De Colo #25 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	39	27	14	9	16	0	8	31	18-20	90%	36-70	51%	4-16	25%

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22 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 26	37.4	20	45%	2	8	1	0	2	1	0	2	7-9	78%	5-13	38%	1-5	20%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 24	28.3	15	50%	8	2	1	0	0	1	2	6	1-2	50%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 30	27.6	11	61%	1	3	2	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Jordan Hamilton F · 6'7" 220 · 23	23.1	11	92%	4	1	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 26	20.5	9	41%	7	0	0	2	5	5	4	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	29.3	6	50%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-2	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	21.2	11	69%	5	2	0	1	4	6	1	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 29	18.6	5	25%	2	4	0	0	3	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25	16.7	4	40%	7	0	0	1	4	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21	9.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 26	8.3	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DND - Left Ankle Sprain
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	50%	45	22	4	4	22	0	10	35	15-20	75%	26-64	41%	9-19	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.05 52.6%

DEN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

22

30

73%

DEN

12

25

48%

Midrange

SAS

14

40

35%

DEN

14

39

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

4

6.0

16

25%

38%

DEN

9

13.5

19

47%

71%

Free Throws

SAS

18

20

90%

DEN

15

20

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	24	80%	12.0 / 15
T. Duncan	17	53%	8.5 / 16
K. Leonard	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Splitter	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Diaw	9	45%	4.5 / 10
P. Mills	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Ginobili	6	27%	3.0 / 11
D. Green	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Belinelli	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Bonner	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Ayres	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	20	45%	10.0 / 22
K. Faried	15	50%	7.5 / 15
R. Foye	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Hamilton	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Mozgov	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. McGee	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Miller	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Robinson	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Hickson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Arthur	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 110.3 15 106.3	SAS 99.0 +7.8 DEN 91.3
Pace	10 95.2 3 97.8	SAS 97.6 DEN 109.1 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.1 28 14.2	SAS 14.8 DEN 13.2 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.7% 16 49.7%	SAS 48.8% +1.2% DEN 47.6%
TO %	12 14.7% 28 15.7%	SAS 14.4% −5.6% DEN 20.0%
ORB %	24 22.8% 5 27.5%	SAS 18.6% DEN 24.4% +5.8%
FTrt	30 24.0 7 30.6	SAS 23.3 DEN 24.1 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 62.1% 15 58.4%	SAS 67.5% +4.6% DEN 62.9%
STL %	19 7.7% 20 7.6%	SAS 13.6% +9.7% DEN 3.9%
BLK %	17 7.7% 4 8.6%	SAS 14.1% +8.4% DEN 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 56.0% 17 52.2%	SAS 52.6% +3.1% DEN 49.5%
Rim FG%	3 63.1% 19 57.6%	SAS 73.3% +25.3% DEN 48.0%
Mid FG%	12 40.6% 28 36.2%	SAS 35.0% DEN 35.9% +0.9%
3P %	1 39.7% 15 35.8%	SAS 25.0% DEN 47.4% +22.4%
FT %	4 78.6% 27 72.6%	SAS 90.0% +15.0% DEN 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.5% 5 40.2%	SAS 34.9% +4.8% DEN 30.1%
Mid Att. %	13 37.8% 3 32.0%	SAS 46.5% −0.5% DEN 47.0%
3P Att. %	16 25.7% 12 27.8%	SAS 18.6% DEN 22.9% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	102	94
Rebounds	39	45
Assists	27	22
Steals	14	4
Blocks	9	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (6)	35 (2)
Field Goals	40-86	35-83
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	12-25
Midrange FG	14-40	14-39
2-Point FG	36-70	26-64
3-Point FG	4-16	9-19
Free Throws	18-20	15-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg