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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks58%108105
27Kings42%106100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
35
33
27
10
1
3
1
2
2
5
5
4-6
67%
10-18
7-13
56%
53%
1-1
100%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
35
24
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-4
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.4
34
33
18
3
10
1
2
0
4
0
3
4-8
50%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.7
34
30
25
11
4
4
1
1
2
3
8
5-6
83%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.6
32
34
9
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
25
23
9
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.1
19
19
6
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
16
9
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.7
12
7
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.3
15
0
3-6
48%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
6
0
1-1
48%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.5
4
0
0-1
47%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.5
1
0
0-0
45%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.9
34
23
13
4
5
0
1
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.6
31
21
7
9
1
2
0
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
1-3
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.2
29
28
11
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
25
26
15
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.8
20
25
9
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.7
28
29
26
2
5
1
1
0
4
2
0
9-9
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.3
23
24
2
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.7
23
21
15
6
1
2
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
3-7
43%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.1
14
18
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.4
13
14
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
10
0
1-2
43%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
5
0
0-1
46%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.7
3
0
0-1
43%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 26.8
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.