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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pelicans23%9399
6Grizzlies77%10384
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.7
37
37
18
9
2
3
2
3
0
2
7
8-9
89%
5-14
7-15
36%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
34
29
19
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
6-6
100%
5-10
4-10
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
31
29
11
0
3
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-10
44%
43%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
29
24
10
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
24
24
9
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
30
23
16
7
4
0
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
7-11
3-7
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.1
24
16
4
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.9
16
22
5
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
12
19
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.3
5
0
0-1
44%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.7
2
0
0-0
46%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
34
33
26
1
1
1
2
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
10-12
5-10
83%
48%
0-4
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.8
31
34
11
1
4
1
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.8
22
27
6
5
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.7
17
19
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
8
31
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
6-12
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
24
9
7
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
24
23
9
6
2
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
3-4
75%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
17
15
6
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
17
18
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
14
22
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.5
13
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.3
11
3
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.7
10
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.