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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks29%10593
3Thunder71%112107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
39
32
20
5
3
0
2
0
7
0
5
3-4
75%
7-14
5-11
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
34
29
16
6
3
3
1
0
4
0
6
4-4
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.5
33
28
17
4
3
2
1
2
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
32
27
9
2
3
3
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
24
22
6
9
0
0
1
0
3
5
4
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
25
19
17
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-3
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
3-5
60%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.5
19
19
8
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
14
21
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
11
19
0
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.9
8
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.7
5
0
1-1
47%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
37
35
23
3
10
2
1
0
5
1
2
8-9
89%
6-14
7-13
43%
54%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.1
36
29
17
13
1
1
0
3
2
3
10
0-0
-
7-9
6-10
78%
54%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
33
33
22
1
4
2
2
0
5
0
1
2-5
40%
10-19
7-15
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
24
25
5
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
14
18
4
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.4
20
15
13
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.3
20
15
6
9
0
2
0
1
0
2
7
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.0
17
18
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.2
16
18
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.6
12
26
2
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
54%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
10
13
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
2
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.7
3
0
0-0
55%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.