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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks52%108107
15Nuggets48%107109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
35
34
21
9
5
1
1
4
4
3
6
1-1
100%
10-20
7-14
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.7
35
31
29
10
5
2
1
1
0
2
8
7-11
64%
8-12
5-11
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.4
34
33
14
2
11
0
2
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
7-16
5-10
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.6
34
32
16
5
4
2
1
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
2-4
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
30
28
10
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
23
23
1
3
0
3
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-4
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
20
12
7
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-5
40%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.5
19
3
7
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.3
6
9
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.5
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.1
19
1
2-5
42%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.7
9
0
1-3
48%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
46%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.0
39
36
23
7
8
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-3
67%
6-11
6-11
55%
50%
3-5
60%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.0
26
26
4
9
4
1
1
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.1
24
28
13
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
3-5
60%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
24
18
14
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
7-13
3-6
54%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
16
15
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
24
13
12
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
2-3
67%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.2
22
20
3
8
0
0
0
1
2
1
7
1-2
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.6
21
25
7
1
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.4
21
21
15
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
4-6
67%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.3
18
19
10
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
5
11
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.3
6
0
1-2
49%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.0
2
0
0-1
48%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.2
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.