Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	52%	108	107	110.3	97	101.8
	22	Nuggets	48%	107	109	112.4	97	92.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	35.1	21	50%	9	5	1	4	4	2	3	6	1-1	100%	10-20	50%	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	34.5	29	73%	10	5	2	1	0	4	2	8	7-11	64%	8-12	67%	2-3	67%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	34.4	14	41%	2	11	0	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	7-16	44%	0-1	0%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	34.4	16	80%	5	4	2	2	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.7	10	56%	5	3	2	0	0	2	2	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	23.1	1	6%	3	0	3	0	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-4	0%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	20.2	7	58%	4	1	0	2	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	18.7	7	44%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	6.2	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jared Cunningham G · 6'4" 194 · 22	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	\| NWT - NBA Suspension
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gustavo Ayon #14 · · 6'10" 250 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	46	31	11	9	11	0	13	33	13-19	68%	35-68	51%	8-26	31%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	35.1	21	50%	9	5	1	4	4	2	3	6	1-1	100%	10-20	50%	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	34.5	29	73%	10	5	2	1	0	4	2	8	7-11	64%	8-12	67%	2-3	67%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	34.4	14	41%	2	11	0	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	7-16	44%	0-1	0%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	34.4	16	80%	5	4	2	2	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.7	10	56%	5	3	2	0	0	2	2	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	23.1	1	6%	3	0	3	0	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-4	0%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	20.2	7	58%	4	1	0	2	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	18.7	7	44%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	6.2	2	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jared Cunningham G · 6'4" 194 · 22	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	\| NWT - NBA Suspension
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gustavo Ayon #14 · · 6'10" 250 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	46	31	11	9	11	0	13	33	13-19	68%	35-68	51%	8-26	31%

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22 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 26	39.0	23	68%	7	8	0	0	3	1	1	6	2-3	67%	6-11	55%	3-5	60%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 24	26.3	4	33%	9	4	1	1	2	2	4	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 30	24.2	13	81%	4	2	1	0	3	3	1	3	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 26	23.7	14	54%	3	0	1	2	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton F · 6'7" 220 · 23	15.6	6	38%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%

Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21	24.3	12	60%	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25	22.2	3	30%	8	0	0	1	2	2	1	7	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	20.7	7	70%	1	7	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 29	20.6	15	68%	3	3	1	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-6	67%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	18.1	10	83%	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	4	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 26	5.3	2	33%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	45	28	4	8	16	0	10	35	11-17	65%	28-61	46%	14-25	56%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

19

28

68%

DEN

17

35

49%

Midrange

ATL

16

40

40%

DEN

11

26

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

8

12.0

26

31%

46%

DEN

14

21.0

25

56%

84%

Free Throws

ATL

13

19

68%

DEN

11

17

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	29	73%	14.5 / 20
A. Horford	21	50%	10.5 / 21
K. Korver	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Teague	14	41%	7.0 / 17
D. Carroll	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Antic	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Mack	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Scott	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Martin	1	6%	0.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	23	68%	11.5 / 17
N. Robinson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. McGee	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Foye	13	81%	6.5 / 8
E. Fournier	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Mozgov	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Miller	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Hamilton	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Faried	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Hickson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Arthur	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.6 15 106.3	ATL 110.3 DEN 112.4 +2.1
Pace	11 95.0 3 97.8	ATL 101.8 +9.2 DEN 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 28 14.2	ATL 14.1 −1.4 DEN 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 51.5% 16 49.7%	ATL 50.0% DEN 57.0% +7.0%
TO %	17 15.2% 28 15.7%	ATL 9.7% −4.9% DEN 14.6%
ORB %	28 21.0% 5 27.5%	ATL 27.1% +3.8% DEN 23.3%
FTrt	21 26.6 7 30.6	ATL 20.2 +0.4 DEN 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.7% 15 58.4%	ATL 72.1% +5.4% DEN 66.7%
STL %	9 8.7% 20 7.6%	ATL 11.3% +7.2% DEN 4.1%
BLK %	28 6.5% 4 8.6%	ATL 14.8% +3.0% DEN 11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.7% 17 52.2%	ATL 51.0% DEN 58.6% +7.6%
Rim FG%	10 59.2% 19 57.6%	ATL 67.9% +19.3% DEN 48.6%
Mid FG%	5 41.3% 28 36.2%	ATL 40.0% DEN 42.3% +2.3%
3P %	13 36.3% 15 35.8%	ATL 30.8% DEN 56.0% +25.2%
FT %	6 78.1% 27 72.6%	ATL 68.4% +3.7% DEN 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 5 40.2%	ATL 29.8% DEN 40.7% +10.9%
Mid Att. %	6 34.5% 3 32.0%	ATL 42.6% DEN 30.2% −12.3%
3P Att. %	2 31.6% 12 27.8%	ATL 27.7% DEN 29.1% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	DEN
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	107	109
Rebounds	46	45
Assists	31	28
Steals	11	4
Blocks	9	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	35 (1)
Field Goals	43-94	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	17-35
Midrange FG	16-40	11-26
2-Point FG	35-68	28-61
3-Point FG	8-26	14-25
Free Throws	13-19	11-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg