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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
109
2676ers
85
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
32
26
18
6
3
1
1
1
0
0
6
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
29
30
14
3
9
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
7-11
6-13
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
28
18
11
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
3-4
75%
4-8
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
28
23
8
5
3
0
1
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
24
27
13
9
3
2
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
56%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
24
10
6
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
22
23
12
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
19
17
10
3
2
4
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
13
24
8
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
10
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
7
5
6
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-6
67%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
3
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.5
27
1
6-12
49%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.0
34
35
20
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
8-17
6-13
47%
45%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.5
33
32
17
13
3
0
0
2
4
3
10
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
33
35
8
2
4
3
2
3
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
4-11
22%
42%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
30
33
7
6
1
1
2
1
1
4
2
1-2
50%
3-5
6-11
60%
51%
0-2
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.6
24
32
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.6
21
19
13
2
3
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
1-3
33%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.9
20
14
5
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.8
19
18
4
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
14
7
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.6
12
4
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 23.3
6
0
1-1
48%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.7
2
0
0-0
49%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.6
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.