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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
November 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Cavaliers30%9781
10Bulls70%10496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.6
41.1
34.6
16
38%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
3-14
6-13
21%
46%
2-5
40%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.7
38.5
35.7
14
55%
13
0
1
1
1
1
4
9
2-4
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
33.6
30.3
13
50%
2
2
1
1
2
6
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.0
20.9
15.4
11
76%
6
2
0
0
2
3
2
4
5-5
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
18.5
18.8
7
88%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.1
29.3
32.3
5
43%
6
3
2
1
2
2
3
3
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
25.2
25.3
2
15%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
18.9
18.3
9
45%
2
0
1
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
5.0
2.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.6
4.7
5.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
4.2
4.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.8
11.0
0
1-2
42%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.7
9.0
0
1-1
40%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.0
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
36.6
35.9
12
41%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
6-6
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
34.0
28.2
16
38%
3
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
8-19
5-10
42%
49%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
33.8
27.0
17
69%
7
4
1
1
2
2
2
5
3-3
100%
7-11
5-11
64%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
27.2
26.8
10
85%
6
1
3
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
24.1
28.3
11
40%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
26.8
26.4
9
51%
8
0
1
1
3
2
3
5
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
24.9
25.2
6
39%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
23.9
19.9
15
91%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
8.3
11.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.0
0.5
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.