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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards
95
9Mavericks
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
37
35
27
7
0
4
2
0
4
2
5
2-3
67%
5-6
3-6
83%
45%
5-11
45%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.4
37
37
9
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
2-8
5-10
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
35
32
12
12
0
1
1
4
2
3
9
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
53%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
34
36
14
5
10
1
2
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
6-13
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
33
24
14
7
3
3
1
0
6
4
3
8-14
57%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
20
23
6
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
19
18
8
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.4
14
11
2
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
39%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
5
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.9
3
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.6
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 22.9
1
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.0
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
37
36
19
4
7
0
2
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
6-15
6-13
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
33
31
11
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.5
33
32
8
9
2
1
1
1
4
2
7
0-0
-
4-6
5-11
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
32
31
19
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
6-14
5-10
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
23
21
15
5
1
2
1
0
1
3
2
5-6
83%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
26
15
16
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
4-9
44%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.6
24
20
9
11
1
0
1
0
1
4
7
1-3
33%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
18
22
4
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
12
15
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.0
8
0
1-1
45%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.