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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pelicans58%10595
28Lakers42%102116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
32.0
30.8
17
53%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
7-7
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
27.8
31.8
8
31%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
27.2
33.2
7
28%
3
5
0
2
1
3
1
2
3-3
100%
2-10
5-12
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.7
26.5
35.4
15
59%
5
2
2
2
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
6-11
8-15
55%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
17.6
23.0
6
60%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
30.7
18.2
11
34%
4
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-7
43%
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.7
18.3
1.0
9
97%
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
1
5-6
83%
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
16.2
20.6
8
133%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
14.8
7.6
7
72%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.1
11.7
12.8
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.9
8.9
14.0
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
8.4
6.5
3
40%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-4
25%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 30.4
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.7
27.4
32.7
5
51%
1
10
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-4
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.3
26.3
18.0
21
68%
11
2
2
0
1
2
2
9
7-8
88%
7-12
3-5
58%
51%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
25.9
28.7
14
64%
8
3
0
0
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
6-9
5-11
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
25.9
28.9
15
95%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
3-5
60%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
20.9
22.3
5
51%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.4
23.3
21.9
17
72%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
22.1
16.7
15
94%
2
1
3
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
3-3
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.5
21.4
18.9
8
44%
9
6
1
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
20.6
18.8
9
50%
7
8
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.7
12.9
13.5
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.4
5.7
2.2
1
17%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Elias Harris
F · 6'8" 239 · 24.4
3.8
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
3.8
1.6
3
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.2
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.