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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Raptors
103
9Grizzlies
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
42
33
23
6
4
5
1
2
4
1
5
3-4
75%
4-12
6-14
33%
44%
4-6
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.6
35
31
21
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
6-8
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
3-5
60%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
33
36
18
3
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3-3
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.5
30
29
14
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
6-6
100%
4-7
4-6
57%
55%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
30
25
4
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.0
23
16
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
20
18
8
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
12
11
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
7
3
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
5
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
1
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.0
1
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
35
29
29
0
5
3
2
0
3
0
0
1-3
33%
8-9
4-9
89%
48%
4-10
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.7
34
26
6
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-6
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.8
33
33
18
10
4
0
1
0
0
5
5
6-8
75%
6-14
6-11
43%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.8
30
24
10
4
2
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
30
27
10
10
2
1
1
0
3
1
9
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
24
13
5
5
2
0
0
3
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.7
21
24
8
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
12
8
0
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
8
19
0
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
55%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
5
19
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.3
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.5
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
10
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.