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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards23%9679
2Spurs77%10692
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.4
35
36
19
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
8-16
4-10
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
33
33
9
7
3
0
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-10
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
30
35
14
8
3
2
1
1
3
1
7
3-3
100%
4-16
5-12
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
25
28
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
17
35
3
3
1
2
2
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
35
22
21
10
2
4
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
5-10
1-3
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.6
22
2
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
48%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 22.9
13
1
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
38%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
10
1
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.4
8
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
37%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
6
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.9
5
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
18
1
2-4
45%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.0
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
26
19
2
8
3
0
0
2
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-12
4-8
8%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
25
29
16
1
1
0
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
7-8
6-12
88%
52%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
24
26
13
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
4-7
100%
57%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
24
21
12
9
1
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
56%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
22
28
0
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
23
22
10
5
8
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
23
20
10
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
18
24
15
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
3-5
86%
55%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
16
18
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
16
14
6
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
8
7
0
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
8
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.