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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
November 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder42%102115
5Warriors58%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
42.1
25.9
27
75%
13
0
0
0
3
3
5
8
9-9
100%
9-14
5-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
41.9
40.3
20
59%
7
8
0
1
0
5
1
6
8-9
89%
3-7
7-14
43%
50%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
36.0
32.1
31
70%
9
5
3
2
0
5
2
7
3-5
60%
11-15
6-15
73%
44%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
33.6
31.6
9
53%
9
1
0
2
0
0
2
7
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
2-3
67%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.3
14.2
21.0
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.6
22.4
23.5
12
61%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.1
20.6
20.0
2
20%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
18.0
16.0
9
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
3-7
43%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
7.0
8.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.7
4.1
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.3
7.1
0
0-1
38%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.2
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
43.1
26.6
22
47%
5
9
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
4-14
3-6
29%
48%
4-8
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
38.0
30.1
27
87%
5
2
0
1
3
0
2
3
1-1
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
6-9
67%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
37.4
33.8
14
102%
1
9
1
2
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
2-2
100%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
35.6
28.0
20
45%
4
3
1
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
10-22
6-11
45%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.0
29.0
25.1
6
43%
7
2
3
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
23.1
20.9
16
51%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.1
17.1
18.7
4
53%
2
0
3
0
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
10.1
18.3
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.3
6.5
13.0
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.4
7.8
0
1-2
44%
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.4
5.2
0
0-1
44%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.5
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.7
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.