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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Bulls
96
15Raptors
80
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
40
25
12
3
4
2
1
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
38
36
19
9
3
0
1
0
3
0
9
1-1
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
2-4
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
34
26
14
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
6-6
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
33
27
18
9
3
1
1
0
3
3
6
4-4
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
29
30
14
8
6
0
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
7-16
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
28
22
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
21
26
6
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
8
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
2-5
0-1
40%
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
7
10
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
31
1
6-12
47%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
1
0
0-0
33%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.6
38
32
6
3
8
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
0-7
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
37
34
37
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
7-10
70%
9-16
6-13
56%
45%
4-6
67%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
32
36
20
9
1
0
2
1
4
2
7
5-6
83%
6-14
6-14
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
28
27
4
8
2
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.5
21
29
3
4
1
2
1
3
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.0
19
19
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
19
7
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
18
11
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
16
19
0
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
6
10
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.0
4
0
0-0
40%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.