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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks32%102104
3Heat68%108110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
41.7
35.7
20
54%
3
4
1
2
0
5
0
3
4-6
67%
5-10
6-13
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
35.6
30.8
28
85%
6
3
2
1
1
5
0
6
9-10
90%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
3-5
60%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
35.5
31.2
12
60%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
4-9
44%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.5
30.5
32.0
8
67%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
5-10
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
20.3
21.3
4
40%
9
0
3
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
27.2
19.8
21
76%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
3-6
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.6
26.9
21.3
9
43%
7
5
3
1
2
1
2
5
1-1
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
15.9
19.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
6.0
13.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
0.2
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.0
5.6
0
0-1
43%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
37.0
32.6
39
85%
6
4
1
1
0
6
0
6
10-11
91%
13-17
7-12
76%
57%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.8
36.1
31.8
17
50%
5
8
8
2
0
0
1
4
3-7
43%
7-14
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.6
29.8
27.0
14
51%
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
6-6
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
24.3
26.2
4
25%
2
3
1
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
23.8
24.5
4
41%
5
0
2
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.3
28.6
17.4
11
92%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
26.4
22.1
11
95%
1
0
3
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
18.2
17.6
4
50%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
15.8
13.1
6
60%
1
0
2
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
11.0
0
1-2
49%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
7.8
0
0-1
44%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
5.0
0
0-1
53%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
3.3
0
0-0
41%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.3
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.