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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons48%10597
27Kings52%10690
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.9
44
28
21
8
7
5
1
4
4
0
8
7-10
70%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
2-6
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.1
39
30
11
6
9
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-2
0%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
36
32
15
18
1
2
2
0
4
8
10
1-3
33%
7-13
5-8
54%
59%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
30
34
8
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
4-9
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.7
21
13
7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
30
28
16
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
23
21
11
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
8
18
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.7
7
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
1
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.6
6
0
1-1
48%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.2
3
0
0-1
45%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
1
0
0-0
40%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.1
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.3
36
26
26
13
2
0
1
3
4
3
10
2-3
67%
12-23
6-13
52%
48%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.8
32
17
7
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.8
29
30
13
0
6
0
1
0
8
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.3
28
21
4
9
1
0
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.9
16
28
3
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.8
31
25
18
2
7
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-6
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-4
75%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
29
6
9
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
23
30
5
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.4
8
8
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.2
5
15
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
4
26
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.7
6
0
1-2
42%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
4
0
0-1
44%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.