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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons48%10597
22Kings52%10690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.9
44.2
28.0
21
60%
8
7
5
1
4
4
0
8
7-10
70%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
2-6
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.1
39.5
29.6
11
37%
6
9
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-2
0%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
36.5
32.0
15
52%
18
1
2
2
0
4
8
10
1-3
33%
7-13
5-8
54%
59%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
29.8
33.6
8
42%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
4-9
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.7
21.3
12.8
7
55%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
30.4
27.7
16
56%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
22.5
20.6
11
50%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
7.6
18.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.7
7.0
6.3
6
104%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
1.2
10.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.6
6.2
0
1-1
48%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.2
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
0.5
0
0-0
40%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.1
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.3
35.9
25.9
26
53%
13
2
0
1
3
4
3
10
2-3
67%
12-23
6-13
52%
48%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.8
31.7
16.8
7
51%
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.8
28.6
29.9
13
65%
0
6
0
1
0
8
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.3
27.5
21.4
4
25%
9
1
0
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.9
16.1
27.8
3
38%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.8
31.4
24.6
18
66%
2
7
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-6
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-4
75%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.2
29.1
6.2
9
64%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
23.1
30.1
5
36%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.4
8.1
8.0
3
39%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.2
4.9
15.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
3.5
25.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.7
5.9
0
1-2
42%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.