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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons52%10699
20Lakers48%105114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
39
34
23
5
14
0
2
0
3
3
2
3-3
100%
4-14
4-10
29%
43%
4-8
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
38
35
18
8
3
2
1
1
3
1
7
1-2
50%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
38
33
14
13
0
2
2
1
1
3
10
0-2
0%
7-9
6-9
78%
58%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
37
31
17
7
3
1
1
1
3
5
2
1-8
13%
8-14
6-12
57%
50%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.7
26
17
7
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
30
29
16
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
8-14
4-8
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
20
21
2
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.7
3
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.6
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.2
3
0
0-1
45%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.3
36
26
24
17
1
0
1
0
2
5
12
2-2
100%
11-16
4-8
69%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.7
35
33
9
1
16
4
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
34
30
12
9
7
2
0
3
2
1
8
0-0
-
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
28
31
19
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
21
21
13
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
27
26
19
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
46%
2-5
40%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.8
21
14
6
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
2-6
33%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
20
14
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
13
17
6
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.6
5
18
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.4
3
0
0-1
47%
Elias Harris
F · 6'8" 239 · 24.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
2
0
0-0
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.2
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.