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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nuggets
113
2Thunder
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.0
37
36
29
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
10-12
83%
8-12
6-12
67%
49%
1-5
20%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.2
33
25
18
19
2
1
1
2
3
6
13
4-8
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
32
23
8
3
2
2
1
2
0
1
2
1-3
33%
2-6
3-5
33%
46%
1-6
17%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.2
29
24
11
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-3
33%
2-3
1-3
67%
39%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.0
26
27
5
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
17
17
12
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
16
16
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
15
16
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.3
15
18
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.7
11
19
1
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.5
9
15
10
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.3
6
0
1-2
48%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.0
1
0
0-0
44%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.3
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
43
39
38
8
6
1
1
1
3
3
5
13-16
81%
8-18
7-12
44%
53%
3-9
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
38
33
30
12
7
0
2
0
5
2
10
7-10
70%
7-21
7-15
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
31
32
6
7
4
0
0
3
0
5
2
0-0
-
3-7
6-11
43%
56%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
22
32
8
3
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
15
18
2
5
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.6
24
22
14
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
2-6
33%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
20
20
8
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.1
19
22
4
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.3
19
11
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.3
6
16
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
4
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
6
0
1-1
49%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.8
5
0
0-1
56%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.