Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	33%	101	88	95.7	92	99.9
	6	Heat	67%	107	104	113.0	92	85.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	26.4	9	38%	2	7	0	0	3	4	2	0	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	25.6	9	90%	3	2	0	1	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Al Horford F · 6'8" 240 · 27	25.6	12	55%	7	2	0	0	7	1	3	4	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	22.7	8	67%	2	1	2	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Gustavo Ayon C · 6'10" 250 · 29	22.1	4	50%	6	0	0	0	3	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	27.9	15	68%	10	1	1	0	2	1	3	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	25.1	7	50%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	20.1	5	36%	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	18.9	6	50%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	15.3	12	67%	4	1	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	5.2	1	50%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	5.2	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Millsap #4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	54%	39	22	8	3	24	0	13	26	11-15	73%	22-50	44%	11-24	46%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	26.4	9	38%	2	7	0	0	3	4	2	0	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	25.6	9	90%	3	2	0	1	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Al Horford F · 6'8" 240 · 27	25.6	12	55%	7	2	0	0	7	1	3	4	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	22.7	8	67%	2	1	2	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Gustavo Ayon C · 6'10" 250 · 29	22.1	4	50%	6	0	0	0	3	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	27.9	15	68%	10	1	1	0	2	1	3	7	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	25.1	7	50%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	20.1	5	36%	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	18.9	6	50%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	15.3	12	67%	4	1	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	5.2	1	50%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	5.2	0	0%	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Millsap #4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	54%	39	22	8	3	24	0	13	26	11-15	73%	22-50	44%	11-24	46%

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6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	30.7	13	46%	6	5	1	0	3	0	2	4	1-3	33%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	27.7	14	78%	3	4	3	0	3	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	25.0	19	95%	5	0	1	1	0	0	1	4	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.2	6	75%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
James Jones G · 6'8" 218 · 33	16.0	7	58%	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	25.8	2	25%	2	3	5	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	25.2	8	33%	5	9	1	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	24.7	17	71%	3	1	1	0	2	1	1	2	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	17.3	6	60%	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	12.7	2	25%	3	0	1	0	0	3	2	1	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	7.9	7	88%	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	2.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade #3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	57%	37	26	13	4	15	0	10	27	12-19	63%	31-60	52%	10-21	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.07 53.7%

MIA

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

16

28

57%

MIA

17

30

57%

Midrange

ATL

6

22

27%

MIA

14

30

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

11

16.5

24

46%

69%

MIA

10

15.0

21

48%

71%

Free Throws

ATL

11

15

73%

MIA

12

19

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Scott	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Horford	12	55%	6.0 / 11
P. Antic	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Teague	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. Korver	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. Carroll	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Mack	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Jenkins	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Martin	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Ayon	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Schröder	1	50%	0.5 / 1
E. Brand	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	19	95%	9.5 / 10
R. Allen	17	71%	8.5 / 12
M. Chalmers	14	78%	7.0 / 9
L. James	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Cole	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Jones	7	58%	3.5 / 6
U. Haslem	7	88%	3.5 / 4
S. Battier	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Beasley	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Mason Jr.	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Lewis	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Andersen	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Anthony	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.6 4 110.7	ATL 95.7 MIA 113.0 +17.4
Pace	11 95.0 26 91.5	ATL 99.9 +14.4 MIA 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 9 15.8	ATL 14.4 −2.4 MIA 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 51.5% 1 55.4%	ATL 52.0% MIA 56.8% +4.8%
TO %	17 15.2% 20 15.4%	ATL 22.9% MIA 15.2% −7.7%
ORB %	28 21.0% 29 20.6%	ATL 32.5% +4.7% MIA 27.8%
FTrt	21 26.6 9 30.0	ATL 20.3 MIA 23.5 +3.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.7% 13 58.8%	ATL 66.7% +3.3% MIA 63.4%
STL %	9 8.7% 1 9.7%	ATL 8.7% MIA 14.1% +5.4%
BLK %	28 6.5% 11 8.1%	ATL 5.0% MIA 8.0% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.7% 1 57.5%	ATL 53.7% MIA 57.1% +3.4%
Rim FG%	10 59.2% 1 66.7%	ATL 57.1% +0.4% MIA 56.7%
Mid FG%	5 41.3% 1 42.8%	ATL 27.3% MIA 46.7% +19.4%
3P %	13 36.3% 12 36.4%	ATL 45.8% MIA 47.6% +1.8%
FT %	6 78.1% 15 76.0%	ATL 73.3% +10.1% MIA 63.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 9 38.3%	ATL 37.8% +0.8% MIA 37.0%
Mid Att. %	6 34.5% 4 32.5%	ATL 29.7% −7.3% MIA 37.0%
3P Att. %	2 31.6% 6 29.2%	ATL 32.4% +6.5% MIA 25.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.8
Points	88	104
Rebounds	39	37
Assists	22	26
Steals	8	13
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	24 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	27 (2)
Field Goals	33-74	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	17-30
Midrange FG	6-22	14-30
2-Point FG	22-50	31-60
3-Point FG	11-24	10-21
Free Throws	11-15	12-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg