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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks
88
3Heat
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.4
26
32
9
2
7
0
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.7
26
33
9
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
26
32
12
7
2
0
1
0
7
3
4
2-4
50%
5-9
7-13
56%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
23
30
8
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.6
22
14
4
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.3
28
13
15
10
1
1
0
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.6
25
11
7
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
20
17
5
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
1-3
33%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
19
9
6
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
15
6
12
4
1
2
0
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.2
5
8
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.7
5
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
20
1
2-4
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.8
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
31
33
13
6
5
1
1
0
3
2
4
1-3
33%
6-13
7-13
46%
57%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
28
17
14
3
4
3
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.7
25
23
19
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-3
67%
7-8
3-6
88%
52%
1-1
100%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
22
24
6
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
16
2
7
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
36%
2-3
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.3
26
26
2
2
3
5
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
25
28
8
5
9
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-11
2-5
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.3
25
25
17
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
17
18
6
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
13
20
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
60%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.4
8
6
7
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
2
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.8
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.