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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors59%104108
2476ers41%10198
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
38
37
33
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
10-12
83%
7-14
7-15
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
38
36
13
3
10
3
2
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
3-5
60%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
36
35
18
8
8
0
2
2
4
0
8
4-5
80%
4-11
7-15
36%
46%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
25
28
7
5
0
1
1
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
4-6
43%
57%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
22
29
4
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
54%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
32
16
17
7
2
1
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.0
22
17
5
8
0
1
1
1
0
4
4
3-5
60%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
16
5
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
2-6
33%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
10
11
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
9
0
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.0
3
0
0-0
41%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.1
38
34
13
10
5
3
1
0
3
0
10
5-6
83%
4-11
6-13
36%
46%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.6
37
31
28
10
3
0
1
1
2
2
8
5-6
83%
7-9
4-8
78%
49%
3-4
75%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
34
12
10
6
6
0
1
2
6
1
5
6-7
86%
2-8
1-3
25%
45%
0-2
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.7
33
34
13
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
3-6
50%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 23.3
17
6
6
6
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.6
28
32
9
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.8
24
16
7
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-4
25%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.6
14
16
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
11
13
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.4
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.2
1
8
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
30
1
6-11
52%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.8
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.6
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.