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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Bulls56%10487
16Nuggets44%10297
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
33
26
19
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
8-18
5-10
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
33
32
11
12
8
0
1
1
1
7
5
3-4
75%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
33
36
6
13
2
1
1
0
4
5
8
0-0
-
3-17
5-11
18%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
31
25
15
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
30
30
15
10
0
2
1
1
3
4
6
1-4
25%
7-18
6-13
39%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
31
30
7
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
23
23
9
8
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
15
3
3
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
8
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.0
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
0
0
0-0
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.1
35
36
10
3
7
1
1
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
2-7
6-12
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.0
30
26
12
11
2
1
1
2
1
4
7
2-6
33%
5-9
4-8
56%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.2
29
27
14
9
1
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
51%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
27
26
0
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.2
13
25
12
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
40%
2-3
67%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.5
24
13
11
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-7
1-3
14%
44%
2-6
33%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
22
16
17
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.4
19
17
4
5
1
0
0
3
3
1
4
0-2
0%
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
17
16
6
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.7
14
16
2
3
4
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
10
17
9
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.4
5
0
1-1
48%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.0
1
0
0-0
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.