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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards
88
17Raptors
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.4
43
38
17
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-12
5-12
42%
43%
2-9
22%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.0
42
35
9
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
40
37
37
6
2
3
2
0
4
1
5
5-7
71%
13-19
6-13
68%
44%
2-2
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
37
33
10
10
4
0
1
2
4
0
10
0-0
-
5-14
5-10
36%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
32
31
6
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
17
15
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.6
11
19
0
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.5
8
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.0
7
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 22.9
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
10
0
1-2
46%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
5
0
1-1
47%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.0
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
37
25
11
13
0
0
0
1
1
3
10
1-2
50%
5-14
4-7
36%
54%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
37
37
17
6
4
0
1
1
4
1
5
3-4
75%
7-12
7-15
58%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
36
36
12
6
9
3
2
1
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
31
34
17
3
1
1
1
4
3
0
3
5-6
83%
6-15
7-14
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
25
26
14
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-1
0%
7-7
3-6
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
25
23
11
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
19
10
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-4
25%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.1
19
19
8
6
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
4-6
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.0
5
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-1
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
5
0
1-1
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
3
0
0-1
53%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
2
0
0-0
42%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.