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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Cavaliers
96
1Spurs
126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
34
16
14
2
2
4
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
5-6
1-2
83%
39%
1-2
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.7
27
32
15
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
7-16
6-13
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.7
27
26
5
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
1-8
4-8
13%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.1
21
16
16
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
8-15
3-6
53%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
16
20
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.1
21
8
8
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
39%
0-3
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
20
27
11
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
41%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
17
29
0
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
15
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.2
13
30
9
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.7
12
5
9
5
0
1
0
0
5
2
3
0-2
0%
3-3
0-1
100%
39%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.9
9
25
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.3
9
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
37%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
21
20
17
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
5-7
71%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
16
29
9
6
1
0
1
3
0
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
6-12
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
15
32
12
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
7-13
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
13
31
9
3
0
0
2
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
5-8
67%
58%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
11
24
10
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-5
4-6
80%
57%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
28
13
6
2
2
3
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
23
15
15
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
3-6
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
22
19
10
3
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
2-2
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
21
2
6
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
20
8
8
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
19
2
8
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
2-5
0-0
40%
48%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
16
8
8
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
15
25
8
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.