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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks46%109100
15Nuggets54%110102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
34
32
27
9
1
0
1
1
0
0
9
9-9
100%
9-20
5-10
45%
48%
0-2
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
34
38
25
6
2
2
2
0
4
0
6
7-8
88%
6-11
6-14
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
34
30
11
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.5
32
32
6
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
22
27
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-0
4-7
-
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.6
26
18
8
10
2
2
1
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
4-12
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
24
23
16
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
4-5
80%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
14
15
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
13
17
0
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.0
6
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
5
0
0-1
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
2
0
0-0
50%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
1
0
0-0
43%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.1
38
35
20
3
9
1
1
0
4
0
3
8-14
57%
3-7
6-11
43%
52%
2-3
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.0
31
28
18
14
1
1
1
2
3
5
9
4-6
67%
7-7
5-9
100%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
30
27
10
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-9
11%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.2
29
28
6
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.2
29
20
17
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
5-12
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
16
16
10
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.5
16
18
10
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.7
15
15
0
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.4
13
18
6
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
12
19
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
10
14
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.4
5
0
1-1
50%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.0
1
0
0-0
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.