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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets
93
10Grizzlies
86
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
39
30
9
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
37
35
17
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
7-7
4-8
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
32
29
14
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
6-7
86%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
27
32
15
7
1
0
1
1
5
2
5
3-6
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
26
29
11
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
3-6
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
23
18
16
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
21
12
2
10
1
0
0
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.9
20
15
6
5
2
2
1
2
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
16
14
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.2
22
1
2-5
49%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
6
0
1-1
51%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.7
2
0
0-0
45%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
58%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.7
35
33
16
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
6-9
3-8
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
35
37
13
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
3-4
75%
5-11
7-15
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
34
35
10
2
10
1
2
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
1-11
5-11
9%
49%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.8
31
21
8
13
2
0
1
2
1
7
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.9
30
20
15
2
1
6
1
2
4
1
1
3-4
75%
6-11
3-5
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
18
16
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.8
17
23
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-4
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
16
9
6
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
14
4
4
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.5
10
2
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
0-1
29%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
17
0
1-2
48%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.