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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nuggets34%107110
8Mavericks66%11296
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.2
34
28
22
8
1
3
1
1
2
3
5
6-8
75%
8-11
5-10
73%
51%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.1
30
36
19
3
11
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-6
50%
5-8
6-11
63%
50%
2-3
67%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.2
26
24
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
1-5
20%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.0
25
29
10
10
0
2
1
1
1
3
7
2-4
50%
4-7
5-9
57%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
19
28
11
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
27
16
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.5
24
17
17
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
3-6
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.7
19
16
4
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
18
16
11
7
2
3
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.4
8
16
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
6
12
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.4
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.9
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
36
36
22
0
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
48%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.6
35
32
13
12
4
1
1
0
0
4
8
1-2
50%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.4
31
32
18
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
30
31
12
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
3-4
75%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.6
19
21
10
8
0
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.8
23
23
8
2
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
0-4
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.5
18
25
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.0
14
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
12
15
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.7
10
4
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.1
4
14
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.