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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pelicans
93
2Spurs
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.7
33
33
10
6
1
1
1
4
2
1
5
4-4
100%
3-8
7-13
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
33
32
12
9
7
3
1
2
3
4
5
0-0
-
6-15
4-11
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
22
24
8
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
19
31
4
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
44%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
11
20
2
1
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
29
30
17
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
26
14
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.2
25
27
12
9
3
1
1
0
2
4
5
2-2
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
15
11
10
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
38%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.0
9
7
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
8
6
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 30.4
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.7
4
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
25
25
14
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
25
24
10
5
3
1
1
3
3
1
4
2-4
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
21
24
7
11
1
2
1
0
1
2
9
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
58%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
20
21
5
0
2
5
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
13
19
11
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
57%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
31
21
13
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
57%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
22
18
12
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
1-5
20%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
21
20
14
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
4-6
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
19
21
16
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
4-5
80%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
14
18
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
13
12
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
10
9
6
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
6
11
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.