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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat75%10695
28Cavaliers25%9784
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
37
33
28
8
8
3
1
0
1
0
8
9-11
82%
8-16
7-12
50%
57%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.9
36
32
22
4
3
2
2
0
6
1
3
2-2
100%
10-14
7-13
71%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
30
23
3
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.7
30
27
6
7
2
2
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.3
22
15
4
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
26
18
17
9
2
0
0
1
1
1
8
7-7
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
21
29
6
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.4
20
24
7
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
18
18
2
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
12
0
1-1
43%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
5
0
0-0
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
5
0
0-1
49%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
3
0
0-0
52%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.8
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.7
34
30
16
3
3
1
1
0
4
2
1
4-4
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
0-5
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.1
23
18
4
7
1
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-10
3-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.7
23
26
4
11
1
0
1
0
1
3
8
2-4
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
13
18
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
8
22
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
37
24
8
5
6
1
1
1
5
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
33
24
24
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
6-11
55%
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.9
27
19
13
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
3-5
60%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.2
22
24
10
7
3
2
1
0
0
2
5
4-5
80%
3-9
3-5
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.1
19
12
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-3
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
8
0
1-2
45%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.7
7
0
1-2
44%
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.3
5
0
0-1
43%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.7
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.